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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Motherwell
S S T U S
1–1
Full-time
Hibernian
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 27%
25%
28%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
53%
66%
Both score Ø 61%
66%
56%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
8 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 8. · Hibernian 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 32 23 6 3 +51 75
2 Rangers 31 24 2 5 +50 74
3 Hearts 32 18 5 9 +10 59
4 Kilmarnock 32 12 12 8 +7 48
5 St Mirren 32 12 7 13 -2 43
6 Dundee 31 10 9 12 -10 39
7 Hibernian 32 9 11 12 -7 38
8 Motherwell 32 8 12 12 -5 36
9 Aberdeen 32 8 10 14 -14 34
10 ST Johnstone 32 7 10 15 -20 31
11 Ross County 32 6 9 17 -25 27
12 Livingston 32 3 9 20 -35 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Hibernian
15′
🟨 Joe Newell
Jack Vale 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Nathan Moriah-Welsh
55′
🟨 Rocky Bushiri Kiranga
Blair Spittal 🟨
56′
56′
🟨 Martin Boyle
65′
M. Maolida 0–1
67′
🔁 D. Levitt
↦ N. Moriah-Welsh
S. Nicholson 🔁
↦ S. ODonnell
69′
E. Moses 🔁
↦ J. Vale
69′
A. Halliday 🔁
↦ D. Zdravkovski
70′
80′
🔁 J. Campbell
↦ M. Boyle
O. Shaw 🔁
↦ L. Miller
89′
M. Ferrie 🔁
↦ B. Spittal
89′
1–1 S. Blaney
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Motherwell

3-4-1-2
1 L. Kelly G
15 D. Casey D
16 P. McGinn D
20 S. Blaney D
2 S. O'Donnell M
17 D. Zdravkovski M
38 L. Miller M
3 G. Gent M
7 B. Spittal F
28 J. Vale F
14 T. Bair F
Bench (9)
19 S. Nicholson
24 E. Moses
11 A. Halliday
18 O. Shaw
30 M. Ferrie
5 B. Mugabi
39 L. Ross
66 C. Butcher
13 A. Oxborough

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
1 D. Marshall G
12 C. Cadden D
5 W. Fish D
33 R. Bushiri D
21 J. Obita D
30 N. Moriah-Welsh M
11 J. Newell M
10 M. Boyle M
20 E. Marcondes M
7 É. Youan M
17 M. Maolida F
Bench (9)
6 D. Levitt
32 J. Campbell
9 D. Vente
29 Jair Tavares
19 A. Le Fondre
13 J. Wollacott
44 J. MacIntyre
4 P. Hanlon
16 L. Stevenson

Coach: N. Montgomery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,70
U ✓
3,45
B
2,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.