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Pro League
Referee: A Denil
Mechelen
S S S S T
3–2
Full-time
Westerlo
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 34%
45%
23%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
68%
Both score Ø 50%
41%
59%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

3,61 xG 1,37
65% Possession 35%
23 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
13 Corners 6
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Mechelen 8. · Westerlo 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 22 16 3 3 +25 +23.9 51
2 Cercle Brugge 22 15 3 4 +23 +10.7 48
3 Anderlecht 22 14 5 3 +21 +15.1 47
4 Club Brugge 22 13 5 4 +34 +34.2 44
5 Genk 21 11 7 3 +22 +24.9 40
6 Antwerp 22 10 7 5 +26 +18.5 37
7 Gent 21 10 7 4 +19 +14.3 37
8 Mechelen 22 10 5 7 +5 +2.7 35
9 St Truiden 23 7 7 9 -13 -12.6 28
10 Standard 23 5 9 9 -9 -10.5 24
11 RWD Molenbeek 26 5 7 14 -33 -32.9 22
12 Westerlo 22 5 6 11 -11 -11.2 21
13 Charleroi 25 4 8 13 -22 -15.6 20
14 Kortrijk 25 4 5 16 -34 -23.2 17
15 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 22 3 7 12 -15 -9.0 16
16 Eupen 26 4 3 19 -38 -29.4 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Westerlo
27′
J. Alcócer 0–1
G. Yow
29′
R. Vermant 0–2
T. Rommens
Half-time 0–2
B. Bafdili 🔁
↦ N. Mukau
46′
S. Walsh 🔁
↦ M. Garananga
46′
N. Storm 🔁
↦ P. Pflücke
46′
49′
🟨 Romeo Vermant
49′
🟨 Romeo Vermant
49′
🟥 Romeo Vermant
50′
🟨 Tuur Rommens
1–2 E. Cobbaut
56′
61′
🔁 K. Vaesen
↦ J. Alcócer
61′
🔁 S. Sydorchuk
↦ M. Frigan
61′
🔁 R. Neustädter
↦ G. Yow
2–2 I. Slimani
66′
B. Bolingoli 🔁
↦ D. Foulon
83′
N. Bassette 🔁
↦ G. Hairemans
83′
91′
🔁 E. Jordanov
↦ T. Rommens
92′
🟨 Nicolas Madsen
93′
🔁 A. Sayyadmanesh
↦ N. Madsen
2–3 R. Tagir
own goal
93′
Norman Bassette 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Mechelen

3-4-2-1
1 G. Coucke G
42 M. Garan'anga D
27 D. Bates D
22 E. Cobbaut D
77 P. Pflücke M
34 N. Mukau M
16 R. Schoofs M
23 D. Foulon M
7 G. Hairemans F
19 K. Mrabti F
13 I. Slimani F
Bench (9)
35 B. Bafdili
5 S. Walsh
11 N. Storm
21 B. Bolingoli
70 N. Bassette
15 Y. Thoelen
6 J. Van Hecke
20 L. Lauberbach
8 M. Konaté

Coach: B. Hasi

Westerlo

4-4-2
1 S. Bolat G
22 B. Reynolds D
46 A. Piedfort D
24 R. Tagir D
25 T. Rommens D
18 G. Yow M
8 N. Madsen M
6 D. Haspolat M
77 J. Alcócer M
9 M. Frigan F
17 R. Vermant F
Bench (9)
14 K. Vaesen
15 S. Sydorchuk
33 R. Neustädter
90 A. Sayyadmanesh
32 E. Jordanov
28 K. Borys
39 T. Van den Keybus
30 K. Van Langendonck
76 L. Stassin

Coach: B. Goor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,74
U
3,78
B
4,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,05
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Denil · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.