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Pro League

Referee: J Vergoote

Cercle Brugge

S S S T U

4–0

Full-time

RWD Molenbeek

U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge RWD Molenbeek

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,7

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 19/23 matches

Win Ø 43%

68%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

53%

74%

Both score Ø 59%

53%

65%

Average goals

2,8

3,4

Scored

1,9

1,0

Conceded

0,9

2,4

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,73 xG 0,48

51% Possession 49%

20 Shots 4

8 Shots on target 1

8 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Cercle Brugge 3. · RWD Molenbeek 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	20	16	3	1	+27	+22.6	51
2	Anderlecht	20	13	5	2	+22	+14.3	44
3	Cercle Brugge	19	13	2	4	+18	+10.7	41
4	Club Brugge	20	12	4	4	+32	+33.1	40
5	Antwerp	20	10	7	3	+28	+20.4	37
6	Genk	18	9	6	3	+20	+24.2	33
7	Mechelen	20	9	5	6	+5	-0.3	32
8	Gent	18	7	7	4	+7	+7.9	28
9	Standard	20	5	7	8	-5	-10.1	22
10	St Truiden	20	5	6	9	-16	-11.1	21
11	Westerlo	19	5	5	9	-6	-7.2	20
12	Charleroi	23	4	7	12	-17	-13.4	19
13	RWD Molenbeek	23	4	6	13	-31	-30.6	18
14	Kortrijk	24	4	4	16	-34	-24.0	16
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	20	3	6	11	-14	-7.1	15
16	Eupen	24	4	2	18	-36	-29.4	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	10	8	2	0	+16	+12.4	26
2	Anderlecht	10	8	1	1	+13	+10.2	25
3	Club Brugge	10	7	3	0	+21	+18.2	24
4	Cercle Brugge	9	7	1	1	+13	+8.2	22
5	Antwerp	10	6	3	1	+21	+16.6	21
6	Mechelen	10	5	4	1	+9	+2.8	19
7	Genk	9	5	3	1	+12	+16.1	18
8	Gent	9	4	4	1	+6	+7.0	16
9	St Truiden	10	4	3	3	-3	-1.6	15
10	Standard	10	4	2	4	+3	-0.6	14
11	Charleroi	12	3	4	5	-6	-0.5	13
12	RWD Molenbeek	12	3	4	5	-12	-11.6	13
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	3	3	4	+2	-2.7	12
14	Westerlo	9	4	0	5	-1	-2.3	12
15	Eupen	12	3	1	8	-13	-11.2	10
16	Kortrijk	12	2	3	7	-11	-7.0	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	10	8	1	1	+11	+10.2	25
2	Anderlecht	10	5	4	1	+9	+4.1	19
3	Cercle Brugge	10	6	1	3	+5	+2.5	19
4	Club Brugge	10	5	1	4	+11	+14.9	16
5	Antwerp	10	4	4	2	+7	+3.8	16
6	Genk	9	4	3	2	+8	+8.1	15
7	Mechelen	10	4	1	5	-4	-3.2	13
8	Gent	9	3	3	3	+1	+0.8	12
9	Westerlo	10	1	5	4	-5	-4.9	8
10	Standard	10	1	5	4	-8	-9.6	8
11	Kortrijk	12	2	1	9	-23	-17.0	7
12	Charleroi	11	1	3	7	-11	-12.9	6
13	St Truiden	10	1	3	6	-13	-9.5	6
14	RWD Molenbeek	11	1	2	8	-19	-19.0	5
15	Eupen	12	1	1	10	-23	-18.2	4
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	0	3	7	-16	-4.4	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.