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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel Sesma
Sp Gijon
T S T T S
1–0
Full-time
Cartagena
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 35%
41%
29%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
41%
41%
Both score Ø 46%
44%
47%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 8. · Cartagena 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 35 17 11 7 +26 62
2 Espanol 35 15 13 7 +15 58
3 Eibar 34 16 7 11 +15 55
4 Valladolid 34 16 7 11 +9 55
5 Oviedo 34 14 12 8 +15 54
6 Santander 34 15 8 11 +6 53
7 Elche 34 15 8 11 +4 53
8 Sp Gijon 34 14 10 10 +8 52
9 Levante 34 12 15 7 +3 51
10 Ferrol 34 13 12 9 +1 51
11 Burgos 34 14 8 12 -2 50
12 Tenerife 34 12 9 13 -3 45
13 Huesca 34 9 15 10 +6 42
14 Eldense 34 10 12 12 -8 42
15 Zaragoza 34 10 11 13 +0 41
16 Cartagena 34 10 9 15 -13 39
17 Mirandes 34 9 10 15 -10 37
18 Alcorcon 34 9 10 15 -18 37
19 Andorra 34 9 8 17 -13 35
20 Amorebieta 34 8 10 16 -11 34
21 Albacete 34 7 12 15 -11 33
22 Villarreal B 34 8 9 17 -19 33

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Cartagena
1–0 Mario González
Nacho Martín
33′
Half-time 1–0
Róber Pier 🟨
48′
50′
🟨 Luis Muñoz
Uroš Đurđević 🟨
55′
56′
🔁 Juan Carlos Real
↦ Luis Muñoz
56′
🔁 J. Narváez
↦ Darío Poveda
56′
🔁 Alfredo Ortuño
↦ Gonzalo Verdú
Dani Queipo 🔁
↦ Mario González
62′
C. Izquierdoz 🔁
↦ Cote
69′
Guille Rosas 🔁
↦ H. Hassan
69′
70′
🔁 Arnau Solà
↦ Diego Moreno
Roque Mesa 🔁
↦ Nacho Méndez
77′
G. Zarfino 🔁
↦ Gaspar Campos
77′
82′
🔁 Iván Ayllón
↦ Jairo Izquierdo
90′
🟨 Jose Fontán
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

4-4-2
1 Rubén Yáñez G
22 Rober Pier D
4 Pablo Insua D
16 Diego Sánchez D
3 Cote D
21 H. Hassan M
10 Nacho Méndez M
6 Nacho Martín M
7 Gaspar Campos M
20 Mario González F
23 U. Đurđević F
Bench (12)
9 Dani Queipo
24 C. Izquierdoz
2 Guille Rosas
15 Roque Mesa
18 G. Zarfino
5 Pablo García
25 A. Pașcanu
12 J. Varane
17 Christian Rivera
13 C. Sánchez
19 J. Otero
8 Fran Villalba

Coach: Miguel Ángel Ramírez

Cartagena

4-2-3-1
13 Raúl Lizoain G
2 Diego Moreno D
4 Alcalá D
5 Gonzalo Verdú D
14 José Fontán D
18 D. Musto M
6 Andy Rodríguez M
16 Iván Calero M
8 Luis Muñoz M
20 Jairo Izquierdo M
10 Darío Poveda F
Bench (12)
11 Juan Carlos Real
12 J. Narváez
9 Alfredo Ortuño
33 Arnau Solà
35 Iván Ayllón
22 Kiko Olivas
23 T. Alarcón
1 Tomás Mejías
32 Jony Álamo
17 Mikel Rico
48 Jhafets Christ
26 Arnau Ortiz

Coach: Julián Calero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,73
U
3,38
B
5,14
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,34
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Miguel Sesma · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.