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Pro League

Referee: J Vergoote

Gent

S U U S S

4–0

Full-time

RWD Molenbeek

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent RWD Molenbeek

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 10/12 matches

Win Ø 33%

40%

25%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

40%

58%

Both score Ø 78%

80%

75%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

4,97 xG 0,43

62% Possession 38%

22 Shots 3

10 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 1

3 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gent 6. · RWD Molenbeek 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	11	8	2	1	+13	+8.3	26
2	St. Gilloise	10	8	1	1	+16	+11.5	25
3	Cercle Brugge	10	8	0	2	+11	+10.4	24
4	Antwerp	11	5	5	1	+18	+12.5	20
5	Club Brugge	11	6	2	3	+14	+16.1	20
6	Gent	10	4	5	1	+3	+2.8	17
7	Genk	10	4	4	2	+11	+12.5	16
8	Standard	11	4	3	4	-5	-10.8	15
9	Mechelen	10	4	2	4	+0	-1.5	14
10	RWD Molenbeek	12	3	4	5	-10	-10.7	13
11	St Truiden	10	2	5	3	-5	-5.2	11
12	Charleroi	12	2	4	6	-8	-8.0	10
13	Westerlo	12	2	3	7	-9	-6.8	9
14	Eupen	12	2	2	8	-16	-18.6	8
15	Kortrijk	13	2	2	9	-20	-7.2	8
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	1	2	8	-13	-5.1	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	5	5	0	0	+9	+5.6	15
2	Cercle Brugge	5	5	0	0	+8	+6.2	15
3	Antwerp	6	4	2	0	+16	+11.8	14
4	St. Gilloise	4	4	0	0	+12	+6.9	12
5	Gent	6	3	3	0	+3	+0.3	12
6	Club Brugge	5	3	2	0	+10	+7.2	11
7	Mechelen	5	3	1	1	+4	+1.1	10
8	Standard	6	3	1	2	+1	-4.6	10
9	Genk	6	2	3	1	+5	+7.9	9
10	Charleroi	6	2	3	1	+0	+0.8	9
11	RWD Molenbeek	6	2	2	2	-3	-4.5	8
12	Kortrijk	8	2	2	4	-6	-3.4	8
13	St Truiden	6	1	2	3	-6	-3.5	5
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	1	1	2	+1	-2.1	4
15	Eupen	5	1	1	3	-7	-5.7	4
16	Westerlo	5	1	0	4	-7	-5.8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	6	4	1	1	+4	+4.5	13
2	Anderlecht	6	3	2	1	+4	+2.7	11
3	Club Brugge	6	3	0	3	+4	+8.8	9
4	Cercle Brugge	5	3	0	2	+3	+4.2	9
5	Genk	4	2	1	1	+6	+4.6	7
6	Antwerp	5	1	3	1	+2	+0.7	6
7	St Truiden	4	1	3	0	+1	-1.7	6
8	Westerlo	7	1	3	3	-2	-1.1	6
9	Gent	4	1	2	1	+0	+2.5	5
10	Standard	5	1	2	2	-6	-6.3	5
11	RWD Molenbeek	6	1	2	3	-7	-6.3	5
12	Mechelen	5	1	1	3	-4	-2.7	4
13	Eupen	7	1	1	5	-9	-12.8	4
14	Charleroi	6	0	1	5	-8	-8.9	1
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	0	1	6	-14	-3.0	1
16	Kortrijk	5	0	0	5	-14	-3.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.