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Conference League
Referee: E Manouchos
Gent
S S S U U
4–1
Full-time
Zorya Luhansk
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Zorya Luhansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
2,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 10/4 matches
Win Ø 53%
80%
25%
Points per game
2,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
70%
50%
Both score Ø 68%
60%
75%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
3,1
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,80 xG 0,32
57% Possession 43%
20 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Sep -23 Zorya Luhansk – Gent 1–1

Match report

Gent Zorya Luhansk
1–0 M. Fofana
P. Gerkens
20′
Noah Fadiga 🟨
27′
32′
🔁 I. Horbach
↦ O. Danchenko
39′
🟨 Denys Antyukh
42′
🟨 Kodjo Aziangbe
Half-time 1–0
J. Torunarigha 🔁
↦ I. Kandouss
46′
1–1 A. Batahov
own goal
49′
2–1 G. Orban
N. Fadiga
55′
A. Hjulsager 🔁
↦ S. Kums
59′
62′
🔁 V. Buhai
↦ D. Antiukh
63′
🔁 D. Nahnoinyi
↦ K. Aziangbe
T. Tissoudali 🔁
↦ Núrio Fortuna
70′
D. Roef 🔁
↦ P. Nardi
70′
B. Lagae 🔁
↦ M. Fofana
71′
3–1 O. Gandelman
H. Cuypers
75′
82′
D. Nahnoinyi 3–2
I. Horbach
83′
🔁 D. Myshniov
↦ V. Churko
83′
🔁 D. Alefirenko
↦ I. Kyriukhantsev
Andrew Hjulsager 🟨
92′
95′
ℹ️ Arsenii Batahov
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-1-2
1 P. Nardi G
5 I. Kandouss D
4 T. Watanabe D
25 Núrio Fortuna D
22 N. Fadiga M
6 O. Gandelman M
24 S. Kums M
19 M. Fofana M
8 P. Gerkens F
11 H. Cuypers F
20 G. Orban F
Bench (8)
23 J. Torunarigha
17 A. Hjulsager
10 T. Tissoudali
33 D. Roef
15 B. Lagae
29 L. Depoitre
26 L. Fortin
18 M. Samoise

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Zorya Luhansk

5-4-1
30 M. Turbaievskyi G
94 O. Danchenko D
3 A. Bol D
55 Jordan D
44 A. Batahov D
74 I. Snurnitsyn D
70 I. Kyriukhantsev M
4 K. Aziangbe M
20 V. Churko M
7 D. Antiukh M
39 E. Guerrero F
Bench (10)
17 I. Horbach
19 V. Buhai
10 D. Nahnoinyi
9 D. Myshniov
11 D. Alefirenko
78 Wendell
36 A. Zhylkin
22 P. Mićin
15 K. Dryshliuk
1 O. Saputin

Coach: Y. Koval

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Manouchos · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.