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Coupe de France
Referee: T Bouille
Moulien
1–1
Full-time
Fleury 91
U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Chateauroux 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Orleans 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Sochaux 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Pau FC 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Amiens 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Feignies-Aulnoye 2 2 0 0 +2 6
8 Avoine OCC 2 1 1 0 +3 4
9 Bordeaux 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Dunkerque 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Dijon 1 1 0 0 +6 3
12 Vitré 1 1 0 0 +6 3
13 Olympique d'Alès 1 1 0 0 +5 3
14 Thionville Lusitanos 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Quevilly Rouen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Bergerac 1 1 0 0 +4 3
17 Romorantin 1 1 0 0 +4 3
18 Villers Houlgate CF 1 1 0 0 +4 3
19 Chambly Thelle FC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Lyon Duchere 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Métropole Troyenne 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Castanet 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Caen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
24 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +3 3
25 Rodez 1 1 0 0 +3 3
26 Revel 1 1 0 0 +3 3
27 Ajaccio 2 1 0 1 +2 3
28 Sarreguemines 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Martigues 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Ergué-Gaberic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Dinan Léhon 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Nimes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Valenciennes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Biesheim 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Hauts Lyonnais 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 Angers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 Pontivy GSI 1 1 0 0 +2 3
38 Furiani-Agliani 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 Le Puy Foot 1 1 0 0 +2 3
40 Entente S St Gratien 1 1 0 0 +2 3
41 Dieppe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 St-Philbert Gd Lieu 2 1 0 1 +1 3
43 Louhans-Cuiseaux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Feurs 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Saint-Priest 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Rouen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Epinal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Plessis Robinson 92 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 AG Caennaise 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Cannes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 RC Calais 1 1 0 0 +1 3
55 Mulhouse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
56 Libourne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
57 Bassin d'Arcachon Sud 1 1 0 0 +1 3
58 Paimpol 1 1 0 0 +1 3
59 Racing Colombes 92 1 1 0 0 +1 3
60 Chambéry 1 1 0 0 +1 3
61 Sarre Union 1 1 0 0 +1 3
62 Union Cosnoise 1 1 0 0 +1 3
63 Saint-Meziery 1 1 0 0 +1 3
64 Blagnac 1 1 0 0 +1 3
65 Pontarlier 1 1 0 0 +1 3
66 Fleury 91 1 1 0 0 +1 3
67 Villenave 1 1 0 0 +1 3
68 Panazol 1 1 0 0 +1 3
69 Stade Mayennais 1 1 0 0 +1 3
70 Entente Itancourt-Neu. 2 1 0 1 +0 3
71 Thaon 2 1 0 1 +0 3
72 Angoulême 2 1 0 1 +0 3
73 Coulaines 2 1 0 1 -3 3
74 JS Douvres 2 1 0 1 -3 3
75 Reims Sainte-Anne 2 0 2 0 +0 2
76 Stade Briochin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
77 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
78 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
79 Guingamp 1 0 1 0 +0 1
80 Villejuif 1 0 1 0 +0 1
81 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
82 Thonon Évian 1 0 1 0 +0 1
83 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
84 Fabrègues 1 0 1 0 +0 1
85 Squadra Valincu ARR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
86 Nœux-les-Mines 1 0 1 0 +0 1
87 Étoile Maritime 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 Trélissac 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Stade Plabennec 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 Challans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Boulogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 Canet Roussillon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Saint-Omer 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Saint-Denis 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Limonest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Domerat 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Auxerre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Chaponnay-Marennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Hyères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Forbach 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Blériot-Plage 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 ASPTT Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Geispolsheim 2 0 1 1 -4 1
105 Croix Football IC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
106 Dives-Cabourg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
107 Schweighouse s/Moder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
108 Red Star 1 0 0 1 -1 0
109 Jura Sud Foot 1 0 0 1 -1 0
110 Mâcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
111 Espaly-Saint-Marcel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
112 Roche Saint-Genest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
113 Stade Pontivy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
114 Avranches 1 0 0 1 -1 0
115 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
116 Villefranche 1 0 0 1 -1 0
117 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
118 Brissac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
119 Fos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
120 Drapeau Fougères 1 0 0 1 -1 0
121 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
122 Longueau 1 0 0 1 -1 0
123 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 Saumur 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 Flers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 US Laon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Choisy au Bac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 Volvic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 APM Metz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Vierzon FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 Chantilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Colmar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 Torcy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Isle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Morlaas Est-Bearn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Aunis Avenir 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Jarville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
144 Velay 1 0 0 1 -2 0
145 Saint-Renan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
146 TA Rennes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
147 Roannais Foot 1 0 0 1 -2 0
148 Haguenau 1 0 0 1 -2 0
149 Villerupt Thil 1 0 0 1 -2 0
150 Neuville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
151 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
152 Plougastel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
153 Noisy-le-Sec 1 0 0 1 -2 0
154 Le Poiré sur Vie 1 0 0 1 -2 0
155 Seyssins 1 0 0 1 -2 0
156 Saint-Michel 91 1 0 0 1 -2 0
157 Camon 1 0 0 1 -3 0
158 Bastia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
159 Le Geldar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
160 Le Quesnoy 1 0 0 1 -3 0
161 Toulouse Métropole 1 0 0 1 -3 0
162 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
163 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
164 Loon-Plage 1 0 0 1 -3 0
165 Bourg-en-bresse 01 1 0 0 1 -3 0
166 Liffré 1 0 0 1 -3 0
167 St-Aubin Guérande 1 0 0 1 -3 0
168 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -4 0
169 Lavernose Lherm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
170 Montdidier 1 0 0 1 -4 0
171 Montlouis 1 0 0 1 -4 0
172 Auch 1 0 0 1 -4 0
173 FC Equeurdreville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
174 Rosador 1 0 0 1 -5 0
175 Provin 1 0 0 1 -5 0
176 Doullens 1 0 0 1 -6 0
177 Châteaugiron 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moulien Fleury 91
40′
🔁 E. Kuyema
↦ F. Colombo
43′
⚽ V. Lavigne 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 P. Koffi
↦ M. Belliard
1–1 V. Tillé ⚽
54′
L. Gotin 🔁
↦ S. Phobère
57′
74′
🔁 J. Mangonzo
↦ T. Gamiette
74′
🔁 L. Hervieu
↦ V. Lavigne
J. Vilson 🔁
↦ K. Bolmin
87′
88′
🔁 W. Séry
↦ R. Lelevé
C. Denisse 🔁
↦ K. Ajax
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Moulien

K. Ajax
K. Lumon
K. Montantin
C. Makouke
B. Tafna-Danavin
K. Bolmin
M. Chaffort
W. Francillonne
V. Tillé
C. Salazar
S. Phobère
Bench (7)
L. Gotin
J. Vilson
C. Denisse
A. Boucher
D. Fautrai
D. Gane
L. Errin

Coach: R. Albert

Fleury 91

T. Vimalin
R. Lelevé
T. Plisson
Q. Vogt
F. Colombo
T. Gamiette
T. Bloudeau
S. Sylla
A. Petrilli
V. Lavigne
M. Belliard
Bench (7)
E. Kuyema
P. Koffi
J. Mangonzo
L. Hervieu
W. Séry
J. Liso
J. Sauzeau

Coach: D. Vignes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

T Bouille · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.