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DBU Pokalen
Referee: A Uslu
AB Copenhagen
S S S U T
1–2
Full-time
Nordsjaelland
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AB Copenhagen Nordsjaelland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — DBU Pokalen · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 64%
60%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
80%
100%
Both score Ø 74%
80%
67%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,7
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match AB Copenhagen 4. · Nordsjaelland 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fredericia 5 5 0 0 +19 15
2 Silkeborg 4 4 0 0 +9 12
3 FC Helsingor 4 3 1 0 +8 10
4 AB Copenhagen 5 3 1 1 +0 10
5 Aarhus 3 3 0 0 +7 9
6 Ishøj 4 3 0 1 +5 9
7 Kolding IF 3 2 1 0 +22 7
8 B 93 3 2 1 0 +21 7
9 Vejle 3 2 1 0 +8 7
10 Nordsjaelland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
11 Lyngby 4 2 1 1 +3 7
12 Midtjylland 3 2 0 1 +14 6
13 Aalborg 3 2 0 1 +13 6
14 FA 2000 3 2 0 1 +11 6
15 Aarhus Fremad 3 2 0 1 +11 6
16 FC Copenhagen 3 2 0 1 +8 6
17 Esbjerg 3 2 0 1 +7 6
18 Hvidovre IF 3 2 0 1 +6 6
19 Naestved 3 2 0 1 +6 6
20 Odense 3 2 0 1 +4 6
21 Hobro 3 2 0 1 +4 6
22 Viby 3 2 0 1 +3 6
23 HB Koge 3 2 0 1 +2 6
24 Vanløse 3 2 0 1 +2 6
25 Brondby 3 2 0 1 +2 6
26 Nykobing FC 3 2 0 1 +2 6
27 Thisted FC 3 2 0 1 +1 6
28 HIK 3 2 0 1 -1 6
29 Lyseng 3 2 0 1 -5 6
30 tst Fodbold 3 1 1 1 -6 4
31 Hillerød 2 1 0 1 +5 3
32 Middelfart 2 1 0 1 +4 3
33 Næsby 2 1 0 1 +3 3
34 Kolding B 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 SfB-Oure 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Skjold Sæby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 Ringsted 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 Viborg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 VSK Århus 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Sonderjyske 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Silkeborg KFUM 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 B 1908 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 AB Tårnby 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 VRI 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Tune 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Skjold Birkerød 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Skive 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Brønshøj 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 Ringkøbing 2 1 0 1 -3 3
51 Taastrup 2 1 0 1 -4 3
52 Dalum 2 1 0 1 -5 3
53 Bagsværd 2 1 0 1 -5 3
54 Søften 2 1 0 1 -6 3
55 Aabenraa 2 1 0 1 -12 3
56 B 1909 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Vejgaard B 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Randers FC 2 0 1 1 -1 1
59 Fjordager 2 0 1 1 -8 1
60 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Glostrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Amager FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Gug 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Horsens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Vendsyssel FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Greve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 LSF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Tåsinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Nibe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Odder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Frem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Otterup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 OKS 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Jetsmark 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Køge Union 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 KFUM Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Bispebjerg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Aarhus 1900 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Morud/Veflinge 1 0 0 1 -4 0
89 Dragør 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Frem Sakskøbing 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Varde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Frederiksholm Sydhavnen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Højslev IF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
95 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
96 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
97 BSF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
98 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -7 0
99 KRFK 1 0 0 1 -7 0
100 Egen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
101 Bredballe 1 0 0 1 -8 0
102 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -16 0
103 Avrasya 1 0 0 1 -18 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AB Copenhagen Nordsjaelland
24′
K. Barslund 0–1
D. Svensson
A. Gaub-Jakobsen 🟨
33′
34′
D. Svensson 0–2
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 L. Høgsberg
↦ O. Villadsen
46′
🔁 E. Marxen
↦ K. Hansen
64′
🔁 L. Hey
↦ D. Svensson
64′
🔁 A. Schjelderup
↦ J. Tverskov
I. Namli 🔁
↦ S. Ilsøe
68′
L. Ndukwu 🔁
↦ E. Gomez
68′
I. Kalil Doumbia 🟨
72′
84′
🔁 S. Egeli
↦ R. Ascone
1–2 T. Freriks
D. Pedersen
88′
H. Sighaoui 🔁
↦ D. Pedersen
89′
F. Lindgaard 🔁
↦ D. Sidoel
96′
J. Lind 🔁
↦ T. Freriks
96′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

AB Copenhagen

16 A. Gaub-Jakobsen
40 H. Askham
4 A. Koudelka
29 I. Doumbia
6 D. Pedersen
8 D. Sidoel
3 E. Lindell
15 S. Ilsøe
24 M. Garly
28 E. Gomez
22 T. Freriks
Bench (9)
21 I. Namli
10 L. Ndukwu
33 H. Sighaoui
37 F. Lindgaard
30 J. Lind
11 K. van Mil
20 A. Walatee
5 R. Brodersen
25 T. Nielsen

Coach: D. Roufpanah

Nordsjaelland

31 A. Gülstorff
4 K. Hansen
23 O. Villadsen
27 D. Svensson
30 J. Jensen-Abbew
42 K. Barslund
6 J. Tverskov
12 R. Ascone
21 Z. Sertdemir
14 I. Osman
40 C. Harder
Bench (9)
24 L. Høgsberg
15 E. Marxen
19 L. Hey
8 A. Schjelderup
43 S. Egeli
7 M. Ingvartsen
9 B. Nygren
87 R. Ruiter
5 M. Frese

Coach: J. Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Uslu · 52 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.