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Coupe de France
Referee: C Mouysset
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Martigues Olympique d'Alès
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
5,5
Scored
3,0
4,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+2,5
This season — Coupe de France · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
7,0
Scored
3,0
6,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+5,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Martigues 37. · Olympique d'Alès 25.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rodez 2 2 0 0 +12 6
2 Quevilly Rouen 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Caen 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Laval 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 Chateauroux 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Orleans 2 2 0 0 +5 6
7 Sochaux 2 2 0 0 +5 6
8 Thionville Lusitanos 2 2 0 0 +5 6
9 Pau FC 2 2 0 0 +5 6
10 Lyon Duchere 2 2 0 0 +4 6
11 Saint-Priest 2 2 0 0 +4 6
12 Amiens 2 2 0 0 +4 6
13 Nimes 2 2 0 0 +3 6
14 Angers 2 2 0 0 +3 6
15 Feignies-Aulnoye 2 2 0 0 +2 6
16 Avoine OCC 2 1 1 0 +3 4
17 Auxerre 2 1 1 0 +3 4
18 Paris FC 2 1 1 0 +2 4
19 Bordeaux 2 1 1 0 +1 4
20 Dunkerque 2 1 1 0 +1 4
21 Fleury 91 2 1 1 0 +1 4
22 Sarre Union 2 1 1 0 +1 4
23 Pontarlier 2 1 1 0 +1 4
24 Vitré 1 1 0 0 +6 3
25 Olympique d'Alès 1 1 0 0 +5 3
26 Dijon 2 1 0 1 +4 3
27 Bergerac 1 1 0 0 +4 3
28 Romorantin 1 1 0 0 +4 3
29 Villers Houlgate CF 1 1 0 0 +4 3
30 Chambly Thelle FC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
31 Castanet 1 1 0 0 +3 3
32 Revel 1 1 0 0 +3 3
33 Métropole Troyenne 2 1 0 1 +2 3
34 Ajaccio 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 Sarreguemines 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 St Etienne 2 1 0 1 +2 3
37 Martigues 1 1 0 0 +2 3
38 Ergué-Gaberic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 Dinan Léhon 1 1 0 0 +2 3
40 Valenciennes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
41 Biesheim 1 1 0 0 +2 3
42 Hauts Lyonnais 1 1 0 0 +2 3
43 Pontivy GSI 1 1 0 0 +2 3
44 Furiani-Agliani 1 1 0 0 +2 3
45 Le Puy Foot 1 1 0 0 +2 3
46 Entente S St Gratien 1 1 0 0 +2 3
47 Golden Lion 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Dieppe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 St-Philbert Gd Lieu 2 1 0 1 +1 3
50 Louhans-Cuiseaux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Feurs 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Rouen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 Epinal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
55 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +1 3
56 AG Caennaise 1 1 0 0 +1 3
57 Cannes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
58 Mulhouse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
59 Libourne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
60 Bassin d'Arcachon Sud 1 1 0 0 +1 3
61 Paimpol 1 1 0 0 +1 3
62 Racing Colombes 92 1 1 0 0 +1 3
63 Chambéry 1 1 0 0 +1 3
64 Union Cosnoise 1 1 0 0 +1 3
65 Blagnac 1 1 0 0 +1 3
66 Villenave 1 1 0 0 +1 3
67 Panazol 1 1 0 0 +1 3
68 Entente Itancourt-Neu. 2 1 0 1 +0 3
69 Thaon 2 1 0 1 +0 3
70 Annecy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
71 Plessis Robinson 92 2 1 0 1 +0 3
72 Angoulême 2 1 0 1 +0 3
73 RC Calais 2 1 0 1 -2 3
74 Saint-Meziery 2 1 0 1 -2 3
75 Coulaines 2 1 0 1 -3 3
76 JS Douvres 2 1 0 1 -3 3
77 Stade Mayennais 2 1 0 1 -8 3
78 Reims Sainte-Anne 2 0 2 0 +0 2
79 Stade Briochin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
80 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
81 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
82 Guingamp 1 0 1 0 +0 1
83 Villejuif 1 0 1 0 +0 1
84 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
85 Fabrègues 1 0 1 0 +0 1
86 Squadra Valincu ARR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
87 Nœux-les-Mines 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 Étoile Maritime 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Trélissac 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 Stade Plabennec 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Challans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 Boulogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Canet Roussillon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Saint-Omer 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Moulien 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Limonest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Chaponnay-Marennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Hyères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Forbach 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Blériot-Plage 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 ASPTT Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Thonon Évian 2 0 1 1 -1 1
104 Saint-Denis 2 0 1 1 -2 1
105 Domerat 2 0 1 1 -3 1
106 Geispolsheim 2 0 1 1 -4 1
107 Croix Football IC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
108 Dives-Cabourg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
109 Schweighouse s/Moder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
110 Red Star 1 0 0 1 -1 0
111 Jura Sud Foot 1 0 0 1 -1 0
112 Mâcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
113 Espaly-Saint-Marcel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
114 Roche Saint-Genest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
115 Stade Pontivy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
116 Avranches 1 0 0 1 -1 0
117 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
118 Villefranche 1 0 0 1 -1 0
119 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
120 Brissac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
121 Fos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
122 Drapeau Fougères 1 0 0 1 -1 0
123 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 Longueau 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 Saumur 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Flers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 US Laon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 Choisy au Bac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 Volvic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 APM Metz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Vierzon FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Chantilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Colmar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Torcy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Isle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Morlaas Est-Bearn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
144 Aunis Avenir 1 0 0 1 -1 0
145 Jarville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
146 Velay 1 0 0 1 -2 0
147 Saint-Renan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
148 TA Rennes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
149 Roannais Foot 1 0 0 1 -2 0
150 Haguenau 1 0 0 1 -2 0
151 Villerupt Thil 1 0 0 1 -2 0
152 Neuville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
153 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
154 Plougastel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
155 Noisy-le-Sec 1 0 0 1 -2 0
156 Le Poiré sur Vie 1 0 0 1 -2 0
157 Seyssins 1 0 0 1 -2 0
158 Saint-Michel 91 1 0 0 1 -2 0
159 Camon 1 0 0 1 -3 0
160 Bastia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
161 Le Geldar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
162 Le Quesnoy 1 0 0 1 -3 0
163 Toulouse Métropole 1 0 0 1 -3 0
164 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
165 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
166 Loon-Plage 1 0 0 1 -3 0
167 Bourg-en-bresse 01 1 0 0 1 -3 0
168 Liffré 1 0 0 1 -3 0
169 St-Aubin Guérande 1 0 0 1 -3 0
170 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -4 0
171 Lavernose Lherm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
172 Montdidier 1 0 0 1 -4 0
173 Montlouis 1 0 0 1 -4 0
174 Auch 1 0 0 1 -4 0
175 FC Equeurdreville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
176 Rosador 1 0 0 1 -5 0
177 Provin 1 0 0 1 -5 0
178 Doullens 1 0 0 1 -6 0
179 Châteaugiron 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Martigues Olympique d'Alès
13′
W. Baana Jaba 0–1
R. Calvet 🔁
↦ L. Morante
23′
36′
L. Franco 0–2
Half-time 0–2
A. Diawara 🔁
↦ G. Missi Mezu
61′
I. Najim 🔁
↦ A. Djaha
61′
F. Kembolo 🔁
↦ M. Robin
71′
S. Belloumou 🔁
↦ F. Kadir
71′
71′
🔁 B. Mahamat
↦ Jérémy Balmy
71′
🔁 S. Jdaini
↦ Y. Djabou
81′
🔁 T. Peyrard
↦ D. Ben Nasr
81′
🔁 Y. Kich
↦ L. Franco
1–2 O. Orinel
89′
90′
🔁 T. Husson
↦ W. Baana Jaba
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Martigues

R. Cagnon
A. Djaha
A. Soilihi
L. Morante
Y. Zouaoui
Y. Hadjem
F. Kadir
O. Orinel
M. Robin
K. Tlili
G. Missi Mezu
Bench (7)
R. Calvet
A. Diawara
I. Najim
F. Kembolo
S. Belloumou
J. Aymes
O. Mendy

Coach: G. Poirier

Olympique d'Alès

L. Laurent
P. Cros
Y. Djabou
D. Dabo
L. Franco
A. Diaby
R. Nadifi
D. Ben Nasr
A. Yalaoui
W. Baana Jaba
Jérémy Balmy
Bench (7)
B. Mahamat
S. Jdaini
T. Peyrard
Y. Kich
T. Husson
B. Chevreuil
E. Moreau

Coach: S. Saurat

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.