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Serie A
Referee: G Ayroldi
Verona
T T T U U
1–1
Full-time
Lazio
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,0
1,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 29%
14%
43%
Points per game
0,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
50%
36%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
43%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,08 xG 1,03
29% Possession 71%
5 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Verona 18. · Lazio 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Juventus 15 11 3 1 +14 +13.7 36
2 Inter 14 11 2 1 +26 +19.1 35
3 Milan 14 9 2 3 +9 +3.6 29
4 Roma 14 7 3 4 +11 +7.7 24
5 Napoli 15 7 3 5 +8 +12.1 24
6 Fiorentina 14 7 2 5 +6 -1.7 23
7 Bologna 14 5 7 2 +5 +3.4 22
8 Atalanta 14 6 2 6 +5 +2.7 20
9 Lazio 14 6 2 6 +0 +2.7 20
10 Torino 14 5 4 5 -3 -1.3 19
11 Monza 14 4 6 4 +1 -2.4 18
12 Frosinone 14 5 3 6 -4 -6.2 18
13 Lecce 14 3 7 4 -3 -7.8 16
14 Genoa 14 4 3 7 -4 -1.2 15
15 Sassuolo 14 4 3 7 -5 -7.5 15
16 Udinese 14 1 9 4 -9 +0.9 12
17 Empoli 14 3 2 9 -17 -6.8 11
18 Verona 14 2 4 8 -9 -10.0 10
19 Cagliari 14 2 4 8 -13 -5.5 10
20 Salernitana 14 1 5 8 -18 -15.5 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Verona Lazio
Ondrej Duda 🟨
15′
23′
M. Zaccagni 0–1
Felipe Anderson
24′
🟨 Adam Marušić
29′
🔁 E. Hysaj
↦ A. Marušić
Half-time 0–1
D. Lazović 🔁
↦ S. Serdar
46′
T. Henry 🔁
↦ M. Đurić
57′
M. Hongla 🔁
↦ M. Folorunsho
57′
63′
🟨 Elseid Hysaj
1–1 T. Henry
T. Suslov
70′
71′
🔁 V. Castellanos
↦ C. Immobile
71′
🔁 Pedro
↦ M. Zaccagni
75′
ℹ️ Nicolò Casale
VAR: Goal cancelled
Jordi Mboula 🔁
↦ T. Suslov
76′
Ondrej Duda 🟨
77′
Ondrej Duda 🟥
77′
82′
🟨 Felipe Anderson
84′
🔁 M. Vecino
↦ M. Guendouzi
84′
🔁 L. Pellegrini
↦ E. Hysaj
G. Magnani 🔁
↦ D. Coppola
87′
95′
🟨 Pedro
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Verona

4-2-3-1
1 L. Montipò G
38 J. Tchatchoua D
42 D. Coppola D
2 B. Amione D
24 F. Terracciano D
33 O. Duda M
90 M. Folorunsho M
26 C. Ngonge M
25 S. Serdar M
31 T. Suslov M
11 M. Đurić F
Bench (13)
8 D. Lazović
9 T. Henry
18 M. Hongla
77 Jordi Mboula
23 G. Magnani
22 A. Berardi
3 J. Doig
37 Charlys
17 Y. Kallon
34 S. Perilli
20 R. Saponara
99 F. Bonazzoli
32 J. Cabal

Coach: M. Baroni

Lazio

4-3-3
94 I. Provedel G
29 M. Lazzari D
15 N. Casale D
34 Mario Gila D
77 A. Marušić D
8 M. Guendouzi M
65 N. Rovella M
10 Luis Alberto M
7 Felipe Anderson F
17 C. Immobile F
20 M. Zaccagni F
Bench (13)
23 E. Hysaj
19 V. Castellanos
9 Pedro
5 M. Vecino
3 L. Pellegrini
26 T. Bašić
32 D. Cataldi
46 F. Ruggeri
35 C. Mandas
70 Saná Fernandes
6 D. Kamada
33 L. Sepe
22 D. González

Coach: M. Sarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,02
U ✓
3,43
B
1,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,15
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Ayroldi · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.