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LaLiga2
Referee: Rafael Sánchez
Valladolid
S U S T T
2–1
Full-time
Amorebieta
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Amorebieta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 37%
56%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
28%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
12 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valladolid 4. · Amorebieta 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 18 11 3 4 +18 36
2 Sp Gijon 18 9 5 4 +11 32
3 Espanol 19 9 5 5 +10 32
4 Valladolid 18 10 2 6 +3 32
5 Ferrol 18 8 7 3 +4 31
6 Eibar 18 9 3 6 +8 30
7 Elche 18 8 5 5 +1 29
8 Santander 18 8 4 6 +5 28
9 Tenerife 18 8 3 7 +2 27
10 Levante 18 7 6 5 +0 27
11 Zaragoza 19 7 5 7 +0 26
12 Oviedo 18 6 7 5 +6 25
13 Burgos 18 7 4 7 -1 25
14 Albacete 19 6 6 7 -4 24
15 Mirandes 18 6 5 7 -1 23
16 Eldense 18 6 5 7 -5 23
17 Andorra 18 6 3 9 -6 21
18 Villarreal B 19 5 5 9 -8 20
19 Huesca 18 3 7 8 -5 16
20 Amorebieta 18 3 5 10 -11 14
21 Alcorcon 18 3 5 10 -15 14
22 Cartagena 18 2 6 10 -12 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Amorebieta
4′
🟨 Alvaro Nunez
17′
🟨 Josep Gayá
37′
Manu Hernando 0–1
Jon Morcillo
Half-time 0–1
Isra Sala 🔁
↦ Iván Cédric
46′
46′
🔁 Jorge Mier
↦ Álvaro Núñez
46′
🔁 Eneko Jauregi
↦ Javier Avilés
1–1 S. Jurić
Sergio Escudero
54′
62′
🔁 Erik Morán
↦ Àlex Carbonell
62′
🔁 R. Edwards
↦ Josué Dorrio
Lucas Rosa 🔁
↦ A. Tuhami
68′
Joni Montiel 🔁
↦ Kenedy
73′
82′
🟨 Jorge Mier
82′
🔁 L. Quintero
↦ Jon Morcillo
2–1 Isra Sala
S. Jurić
86′
B. Akinsola 🔁
↦ Raúl Moro
93′
César de la Hoz 🔁
↦ Monchu
93′
Sergio Escudero 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-4-2
1 Jordi Masip G
2 Luis Pérez D
6 F. Boyomo D
3 David Torres D
18 Sergio Escudero D
23 A. Tuhami M
8 Monchu M
20 S. Jurić M
11 Raúl Moro M
24 Kenedy F
35 Iván Cédric F
Bench (11)
38 Isra Sala
22 Lucas Rosa
21 Joni Montiel
36 B. Akinsola
16 César de la Hoz
14 M. Malsa
37 E. Frimpong
4 Víctor Meseguer
26 Alberto Quintana
25 John Victor
15 Gustavo Henrique

Coach: P. Pezzolano

Amorebieta

3-4-3
13 Jon Mikel G
4 Manu Hernando D
24 Josep Gayá D
28 Félix Garreta D
15 Álvaro Núñez M
21 Àlex Carbonell M
20 K. Sibo M
16 Daniel Lasure M
7 Josué Dorrio F
19 Javier Avilés F
22 Jon Morcillo F
Bench (10)
2 Jorge Mier
9 Eneko Jauregi
8 Erik Morán
10 R. Edwards
27 L. Quintero
30 Pablo Cuñat
29 M. Da Graca
17 Rayco Rodríguez
11 Iker Seguín
14 Eraso

Coach: Haritz Mújika

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,40
U
4,40
B
7,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rafael Sánchez · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.