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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Eupen
T U T U U
2–1
Full-time
Mechelen
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 26/24 matches
Win Ø 28%
27%
29%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
54%
67%
Both score Ø 60%
62%
58%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
2,0
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 15. · Mechelen 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 22 19 2 1 +42 59
2 St. Gilloise 21 17 3 1 +28 54
3 Antwerp 20 14 3 3 +22 45
4 Club Brugge 20 11 5 4 +16 38
5 St Truiden 25 10 8 7 +1 38
6 Anderlecht 25 11 4 10 +9 37
7 Gent 20 11 3 6 +16 36
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 27 9 8 10 +6 35
9 Cercle Brugge 20 8 7 5 +4 31
10 Charleroi 24 9 4 11 -6 31
11 Standard 20 9 3 8 +1 30
12 Kortrijk 26 8 4 14 -17 28
13 Westerlo 21 7 6 8 +1 27
14 Mechelen 24 7 5 12 -11 26
15 Eupen 26 7 4 15 -19 25
16 Waregem 25 6 5 14 -20 23
17 Oostende 26 5 4 17 -29 19
18 Seraing 24 5 3 16 -22 18
19 Seraing United 24 5 3 16 -22 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Mechelen
10′
B. Verstraete 0–1
N. Storm
B. Baiye 🔁
↦ J. Déom
11′
Half-time 0–1
R. Charles-Cook 🔁
↦ A. Filin
46′
56′
🟨 Boli Bolingoli
60′
🔁 J. Ngoy
↦ G. Hairemans
63′
🟨 Jannes Van Hecke
64′
🔁 N. Mukau
↦ B. Bolingoli-Mbombo
Davo 🔁
↦ N. Bitumazala
69′
D. Gassama 🔁
↦ S. Prevljak
76′
78′
🟨 Ngal'ayel Mukau
81′
🔁 E. Agyei
↦ Alessio Da Cruz
1–1 K. N’Dri
S. Peeters
86′
89′
🟨 Birger Verstraete
2–1 B. Baiye
Davo
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Eupen

5-3-2
1 L. Moser G
2 Y. Van Genechten D
28 R. Paeshuyse D
4 A. Filin D
5 L. Bessilé D
3 J. Davidson D
14 J. Déom M
8 S. Peeters M
17 N. Bitumazala M
11 K. N’Dri F
9 S. Prevljak F
Bench (7)
6 B. Baiye
10 R. Charles-Cook
13 Davo
25 D. Gassama
33 A. Nurudeen
15 G. Magnée
35 B. Lambert

Coach: E. Still

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
1 G. Coucke G
6 J. Van Hecke D
27 D. Bates D
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
21 B. Bolingoli-Mbombo D
66 B. Verstraete M
14 D. Lavalée M
7 G. Hairemans M
19 K. Mrabti M
11 N. Storm M
22 Alessio Da Cruz F
Bench (7)
9 J. Ngoy
34 N. Mukau
23 E. Agyei
15 Y. Thoelen
28 F. Soelle Soelle
35 B. Bafdili
10 Y. Malede

Coach: S. Defour

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,57
U
3,45
B
2,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,80
U2,5
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.