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Pro League
Referee: J Lardot
Charleroi
U U T U S
3–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Seraing United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 25/24 matches
Win Ø 31%
40%
21%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
64%
58%
Both score Ø 57%
60%
54%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 2
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 9. · Seraing United 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 22 19 2 1 +42 59
2 St. Gilloise 21 17 3 1 +28 54
3 Antwerp 20 14 3 3 +22 45
4 Club Brugge 20 11 5 4 +16 38
5 St Truiden 25 10 8 7 +1 38
6 Anderlecht 25 11 4 10 +9 37
7 Gent 20 11 3 6 +16 36
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 27 9 8 10 +6 35
9 Charleroi 25 10 4 11 -3 34
10 Cercle Brugge 20 8 7 5 +4 31
11 Standard 20 9 3 8 +1 30
12 Kortrijk 26 8 4 14 -17 28
13 Eupen 27 8 4 15 -18 28
14 Westerlo 21 7 6 8 +1 27
15 Mechelen 25 7 5 13 -12 26
16 Waregem 25 6 5 14 -20 23
17 Oostende 26 5 4 17 -29 19
18 Seraing United 24 5 3 16 -22 18
19 Seraing 25 5 3 17 -25 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Seraing United
1–0 V. Bayo
A. Hosseinzadeh
18′
Stefan Knežević 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Lahssaini
↦ M. Cachbach
2–0 J. Bager
D. Marcq
52′
Nikola Štulić ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
60′
3–0 M. Ilaimaharitra
61′
64′
🔁 E. Ifoni
↦ M. Mouandilmadji
65′
🔁 S. Mvoué
↦ M. Sambu
65′
🔁 V. Guillaume
↦ Vagner
R. Morioka 🔁
↦ M. Ilaimaharitra
69′
I. Mbenza 🔁
↦ N. Štulić
69′
79′
🔁 A. Sylla
↦ M. Tshibuabua
D. Heymans 🔁
↦ A. Zorgane
80′
Y. Badji 🔁
↦ V. Bayo
80′
K. Nkuba 🔁
↦ J. Van Cleemput
86′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Charleroi

3-5-2
16 H. Koffi G
2 J. Bager D
25 D. Marcq D
3 S. Knežević D
4 J. Van Cleemput M
99 A. Hosseinzadeh M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
6 A. Zorgane M
12 J. Kayembe M
19 N. Štulić F
9 V. Bayo F
Bench (7)
44 R. Morioka
7 I. Mbenza
18 D. Heymans
10 Y. Badji
28 K. Nkuba
32 M. Boukamir
1 P. Patron

Coach: F. Mazzù

Seraing United

4-3-3
30 G. Dietsch G
40 D. Opare D
4 M. Tshibuabua D
99 M. Mbow D
18 M. Poaty D
27 S. Sissoko M
23 C. Lepoint M
6 M. Cachbach M
21 M. Sambu F
10 M. Mouandilmadji F
7 Vagner F
Bench (7)
15 S. Lahssaini
29 E. Ifoni
5 S. Mvoué
14 V. Guillaume
2 A. Sylla
28 D. Bunchukov
16 T. Martin

Coach: J. Legros

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Lardot · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.