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Svenska Cupen
Referee: P Melin
Varberg
T S S S S
0–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg Vasteras SK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Svenska Cupen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Varberg 12. · Vasteras SK 23.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hacken 3 3 0 0 +11 9
2 Sirius 3 3 0 0 +9 9
3 Hammarby 3 3 0 0 +7 9
4 Kalmar 3 3 0 0 +6 9
5 Halmstad 3 3 0 0 +6 9
6 Mjallby 3 3 0 0 +4 9
7 GAIS 4 3 0 1 +3 9
8 Norrkoping 3 2 1 0 +3 7
9 Malmo FF 2 2 0 0 +11 6
10 Helsingborg 3 2 0 1 +9 6
11 Djurgarden 2 2 0 0 +8 6
12 Varberg 2 2 0 0 +5 6
13 Degerfors 2 2 0 0 +4 6
14 Trelleborg 3 2 0 1 +3 6
15 Goteborg 3 2 0 1 +3 6
16 Orebro SK 2 2 0 0 +2 6
17 IK brage 3 2 0 1 +1 6
18 IFK Luleå 3 2 0 1 +0 6
19 Oskarshamns AIK 4 2 0 2 -1 6
20 Trollhättan 4 2 0 2 -3 6
21 Onsala 4 2 0 2 -5 6
22 AIK 2 1 1 0 +2 4
23 Vasteras SK 2 1 1 0 +2 4
24 Sundsvall 3 1 1 1 +1 4
25 Utsikten 3 1 1 1 +0 4
26 Norrby IF 3 1 1 1 -2 4
27 Västra Frölunda 2 1 0 1 +5 3
28 Nyköping 2 1 0 1 +4 3
29 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +3 3
30 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +2 3
31 Österlen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 Vasalund 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 Brommapojkarna 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 IFK Östersund 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Tord 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Stockholm Internazionale 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Älmhults 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Lund 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Gauthiod 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Skövde AIK 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Ostersunds FK 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Husqvarna 2 1 0 1 -1 3
44 Hudiksvall 2 1 0 1 -1 3
45 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Hässleholms IF 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Ljungskile SK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
48 Landskrona 2 1 0 1 -2 3
49 Dalkurd FF 3 1 0 2 -2 3
50 Torns 2 1 0 1 -2 3
51 Enköping 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Örebro Syrianska 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 IFK Österåker 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Jonkopings Sodra 3 1 0 2 -4 3
55 Brålanda 2 1 0 1 -5 3
56 Arlanda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Gute 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Eneby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Haninge 2 0 1 1 -2 1
60 Täby 2 0 1 1 -2 1
61 Sleipner 2 0 1 1 -2 1
62 Ullared 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 IFK Malmö 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Olympic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Skiljebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Sollentuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Friska Viljor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Asarum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Umeå FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Uppsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Eskilsminne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 AFC Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Oster 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Elfsborg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Lidingö 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Motala 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Angered BK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Karlberg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Räppe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Vänersborgs FK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Järfälla 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Lucksta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Huddinge 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Varnamo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Orgryte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Lidköping 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Vänersborgs IF 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Simrishamn 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Nordvärmland 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Angelholms FF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
93 Trosa-Vagnhärad SK 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Torslanda 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Assyriska Turabdin 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Varberg Vasteras SK
10′
Pedro Ribeiro 0–1
V. Nogueira 🟨
32′
39′
D. Ask 0–2
42′
🟨 F. Nsabiyumva
Half-time 0–2
A. Berggren 🔁
↦ H. Zackrisson
46′
D. Alfonsi 🔁
↦ Ö. Pektas
46′
L. Frigell Jansson 🔁
↦ J. Birkfeldt
57′
Ó. Sverrisson 🔁
↦ R. Tranberg
65′
70′
🟨 H. Magnusson
72′
🔁 M. Gamboš
↦ Pedro Ribeiro
72′
🔁 O. Edlund
↦ P. Åslund
M. Tshikupe 🔁
↦ A. Al Hamlawi
80′
I. Lushaku 🟨
82′
93′
🔁 J. Burke
↦ A. Hellblom
95′
🔁 A. Lindelöv
↦ D. Ask
95′
🔁 A. Padovan
↦ S. Gefvert
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Varberg

F. Andersson
J. Lindner
H. Zackrisson
J. Birkfeldt
Vinícius Nogueira
R. Tranberg
L. Le Roux
Eliton Júnior
I. Lushaku
A. Al Hamlawi
Ö. Pektas
Bench (7)
A. Berggren
D. Alfonsi
L. Frigell Jansson
Ó. Sverrisson
M. Tshikupe
D. Olsson
João Paulo

Coach: J. Persson

Vasteras SK

A. Fagerström
F. Nsabiyumva
Pedro Ribeiro
H. Magnusson
S. Johansson
D. Ask
S. Gefvert
A. Douglas
P. Åslund
A. Hellblom
M. Larsson
Bench (7)
M. Gamboš
O. Edlund
A. Lindelöv
A. Padovan
J. Burke
D. Burubwa
D. Svensson

Coach: K. Karlsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.