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Svenska Cupen

Referee: E Vesprini

Ostersunds FK

S T

0–3

Full-time

AIK

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ostersunds FK AIK

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,0

2,2

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

This season — Svenska Cupen · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

4,0

Scored

0,5

2,5

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Ostersunds FK 42. · AIK 23. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Sirius	3	3	0	0	+9	9
3	Hammarby	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Kalmar	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Halmstad	3	3	0	0	+6	9
6	Mjallby	3	3	0	0	+4	9
7	GAIS	4	3	0	1	+3	9
8	Vasteras SK	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Norrkoping	3	2	1	0	+3	7
10	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+11	6
11	Helsingborg	3	2	0	1	+9	6
12	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+8	6
13	Degerfors	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	Trelleborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
15	Goteborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
16	Varberg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
17	Orebro SK	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	IK brage	3	2	0	1	+1	6
19	IFK Luleå	3	2	0	1	+0	6
20	Oskarshamns AIK	4	2	0	2	-1	6
21	Trollhättan	4	2	0	2	-3	6
22	Onsala	4	2	0	2	-5	6
23	AIK	2	1	1	0	+2	4
24	Sundsvall	3	1	1	1	+1	4
25	Utsikten	3	1	1	1	+0	4
26	Norrby IF	3	1	1	1	-2	4
27	Västra Frölunda	2	1	0	1	+5	3
28	Nyköping	2	1	0	1	+4	3
29	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+3	3
30	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	Österlen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Vasalund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Brommapojkarna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Älmhults	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Lund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Gauthiod	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Skövde AIK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Ostersunds FK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Ljungskile SK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
48	Landskrona	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	Dalkurd FF	3	1	0	2	-2	3
50	Torns	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Enköping	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Örebro Syrianska	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	Jonkopings Sodra	3	1	0	2	-4	3
55	Brålanda	2	1	0	1	-5	3
56	Arlanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Gute	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Eneby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Haninge	2	0	1	1	-2	1
60	Täby	2	0	1	1	-2	1
61	Sleipner	2	0	1	1	-2	1
62	Ullared	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Skiljebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Friska Viljor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Asarum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Oster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Lidingö	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Motala	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Angered BK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Vänersborgs FK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Lucksta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Orgryte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Lidköping	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Nordvärmland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Angelholms FF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
93	Trosa-Vagnhärad SK	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
95	Assyriska Turabdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	GAIS	3	2	0	1	+2	6
2	IFK Luleå	3	2	0	1	+0	6
3	Trollhättan	4	2	0	2	-3	6
4	Västra Frölunda	2	1	0	1	+5	3
5	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Älmhults	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Gauthiod	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
19	Varberg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
20	Torns	2	1	0	1	-2	3
21	Enköping	2	1	0	1	-2	3
22	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-2	3
23	Oskarshamns AIK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
24	Brålanda	2	1	0	1	-5	3
25	Onsala	3	1	0	2	-6	3
26	Norrkoping	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Arlanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Gute	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Eneby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	AIK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Sundsvall	2	0	1	1	-2	1
32	Ullared	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Skiljebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Friska Viljor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Nyköping	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Brommapojkarna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Lund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Lidingö	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Angered BK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Lucksta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Sleipner	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Täby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Österlen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Örebro Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Norrby IF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Nordvärmland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Ljungskile SK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Angelholms FF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
67	Trosa-Vagnhärad SK	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vasteras SK	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Helsingborg	2	2	0	0	+11	6
3	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Kalmar	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Degerfors	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Trelleborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
10	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Orebro SK	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	IK brage	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	Norrby IF	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Utsikten	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+9	3
17	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+5	3
18	Nyköping	1	1	0	0	+5	3
19	Österlen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
21	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	Sundsvall	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Ljungskile SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Vasalund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Oskarshamns AIK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	AIK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
30	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	IFK Östersund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Onsala	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Hudiksvall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Skövde AIK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Ostersunds FK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Landskrona	2	1	0	1	-2	3
42	Dalkurd FF	3	1	0	2	-2	3
43	Jonkopings Sodra	3	1	0	2	-4	3
44	Täby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Sleipner	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Asarum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Oster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Motala	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Vänersborgs FK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Orgryte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Lidköping	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
63	Assyriska Turabdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ostersunds FK AIK

M. Sinyan 🟨

17′

23′

⚽ J. Guidetti 0–1

M. Stolt 🟨

28′

Y. Adjoumani 🟨

34′

43′

🟨 V. Thill

Half-time 0–1

56′

🔁 O. Faraj

↦ V. Thill

56′

🔁 S. Papagiannopoulos

↦ A. Milošević

59′

⚽ V. Fischer 0–2

62′

⚽ V. Fischer 0–3

J. Johnson 🔁

↦ C. Weilid

63′

S. Karlsson Grach 🔁

↦ A. Österholm

64′

65′

🟨 J. Haliti

75′

🔁 E. Durmaz

↦ V. Fischer

75′

🔁 J. Ceesay

↦ J. Durmaz

75′

🔁 T. Ayari

↦ J. Guidetti

K. Ouattara 🔁

↦ Y. Adjoumani

77′

A. Nader 🔁

↦ M. Stolt

81′

S. Zekovic 🔁

↦ C. Amatkarijo

81′

Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Ostersunds FK

A. Mills

C. Weilid

M. Mazur

K. Novak

M. Sinyan

Z. Ghanoum

A. Österholm

Erick Brendon

C. Amatkarijo

Y. Adjoumani

M. Stolt

Bench (7)

J. Johnson

S. Karlsson Grach

K. Ouattara

A. Nader

S. Zekovic

A. Berg

S. Mensiro

Coach: M. Powell

AIK

K. Nordfeldt

A. Milošević

J. Haliti

E. Otieno

Rui Modesto

R. Tihi

J. Durmaz

B. Hussein

J. Guidetti

V. Fischer

V. Thill

Bench (7)

O. Faraj

S. Papagiannopoulos

E. Durmaz

J. Ceesay

T. Ayari

A. Björnström

K. Stamatopoulos

Coach: A. Brännström

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

18. Feb CUP 3 years ago

31. Aug CUP 4 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Ostersunds FK

AIK

Odds comparison

Recent matches