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Pro League
Referee: A Boucaut
Eupen
S T U S S
1–2
Full-time
Charleroi
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
This season — Pro League · 20/18 matches
Win Ø 37%
35%
39%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
60%
61%
Both score Ø 58%
55%
61%
Average goals
3,4
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
2,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 13. · Charleroi 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 16 14 1 1 +31 43
2 St. Gilloise 16 13 2 1 +20 41
3 Antwerp 16 11 2 3 +14 35
4 Club Brugge 16 10 2 4 +15 32
5 St Truiden 20 8 6 6 +1 30
6 Gent 15 9 2 4 +15 29
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 19 8 5 6 +9 29
8 Anderlecht 18 8 2 8 +8 26
9 Cercle Brugge 16 7 5 4 +4 26
10 Westerlo 16 6 4 6 +1 22
11 Standard 15 7 1 7 +0 22
12 Charleroi 18 7 1 10 -7 22
13 Eupen 20 7 1 12 -14 22
14 Mechelen 18 5 4 9 -7 19
15 Kortrijk 19 5 3 11 -17 18
16 Oostende 19 5 3 11 -20 18
17 Waregem 19 4 4 11 -17 16
18 Seraing 18 3 2 13 -18 11
19 Seraing United 18 3 2 13 -18 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Charleroi
41′
🟨 Adem Zorgane
1–0 B. Lambert
S. Peeters
42′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Benbouali
↦ D. Heymans
55′
K. Nkuba 1–1
M. Ilaimaharitra
Gary Magnee 🟨
57′
64′
🔁 J. Tchatchoua
↦ K. Nkuba
N. Bitumazala 🔁
↦ R. Charles-Cook
70′
72′
🔁 A. Hosseinzadeh
↦ A. Gholizadeh
72′
🔁 Y. Badji
↦ A. Benbouali
I. Christie-Davies 🔁
↦ J. Jeggo
84′
84′
🔁 R. Morioka
↦ M. Ilaimaharitra
I. Nuhu 🔁
↦ K. N’Dri
87′
88′
D. Marcq 1–2
R. Morioka
93′
🟨 Jackson Tchatchoua
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Eupen

4-3-3
1 L. Moser G
2 Y. Van Genechten D
35 B. Lambert D
28 R. Paeshuyse D
3 J. Davidson D
4 J. Jeggo M
8 S. Peeters M
15 G. Magnée M
11 K. N’Dri F
9 S. Prevljak F
10 R. Charles-Cook F
Bench (7)
17 N. Bitumazala
23 I. Christie-Davies
7 I. Nuhu
33 A. Nurudeen
30 J. Gorenc
14 J. Déom
25 D. Gassama

Coach: E. Still

Charleroi

5-3-2
16 H. Koffi G
28 K. Nkuba D
2 J. Bager D
25 D. Marcq D
32 M. Boukamir D
12 J. Kayembe D
18 D. Heymans M
6 A. Zorgane M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
8 A. Gholizadeh F
7 I. Mbenza F
Bench (7)
45 A. Benbouali
38 J. Tchatchoua
99 A. Hosseinzadeh
10 Y. Badji
44 R. Morioka
1 P. Patron
21 S. Andreou

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,64
U
3,53
B ✓
2,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Boucaut · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.