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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Genk
U S T S U
3–1
Full-time
Club Brugge
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
83%
0%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
1,7
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,2
This season — Pro League · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 65%
73%
57%
Points per game
2,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
70%
50%
Both score Ø 49%
60%
37%
Average goals
3,4
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,9
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Genk 2. · Club Brugge 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 30 23 4 3 +31 73
2 Genk 30 22 6 2 +47 72
3 Antwerp 30 22 4 4 +37 70
4 Gent 31 18 5 8 +35 59
5 Club Brugge 30 17 7 6 +30 58
6 Charleroi 35 16 6 13 +2 54
7 Anderlecht 35 15 7 13 +11 52
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 36 14 9 13 +12 51
9 Cercle Brugge 31 13 11 7 +10 50
10 St Truiden 36 13 9 14 -1 48
11 Standard 30 13 6 11 +4 45
12 Westerlo 31 11 10 10 +4 43
13 Mechelen 35 11 7 17 -18 40
14 Kortrijk 36 10 7 19 -22 37
15 Waregem 36 7 10 19 -26 31
16 Eupen 36 8 7 21 -36 31
17 Oostende 36 7 7 22 -40 28
18 Seraing 34 5 5 24 -40 20
19 Seraing United 34 5 5 24 -40 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Club Brugge
9′
H. Vanaken 0–1
A. Skov Olsen
1–1 D. Muñoz
G. Arteaga
18′
26′
🟨 Andreas Skov Olsen
Daniel Muñoz 🟨
32′
37′
🟨 Raphael Onyedika
Half-time 2–1
2–1 M. McKenzie
M. Trésor
56′
59′
🟨 Noa Lang
Bryan Heynen 🟨
63′
Y. Sor 🔁
↦ B. El Khannouss
72′
76′
🔁 R. Vermant
↦ Ferran Jutglà
Joseph Paintsil ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
79′
3–1 J. Paintsil
83′
85′
🔁 A. Nusa
↦ A. Skov Olsen
85′
🔁 C. Sandra
↦ M. Rits
L. Oyen 🔁
↦ Y. Sor
91′
T. Arokodare 🔁
↦ M. Samatta
91′
A. Ouattara 🔁
↦ M. Trésor
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
23 D. Muñoz D
3 Mujaid Sadick D
2 M. McKenzie D
5 G. Arteaga D
8 B. Heynen M
17 P. Hrošovský M
28 J. Paintsil M
34 B. El Khannouss M
11 M. Trésor M
7 M. Samatta F
Bench (7)
14 Y. Sor
24 L. Oyen
99 T. Arokodare
4 A. Ouattara
19 A. Ait El Hadj
77 A. Preciado
40 T. Leysen

Coach: W. Vrancken

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
22 S. Mignolet G
77 Clinton Mata D
44 B. Mechele D
58 J. Spileers D
14 B. Meijer D
26 M. Rits M
15 R. Onyedika M
7 A. Skov Olsen M
20 H. Vanaken M
10 N. Lang M
9 Ferran Jutglà F
Bench (7)
76 R. Vermant
32 A. Nusa
98 C. Sandra
94 A. Sylla
6 D. Odoi
68 C. Talbi
33 N. Shinton

Coach: R. De Mil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,18
U
3,67
B
3,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,34
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.