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LaLiga2
Referee: Víctor García
Oviedo
T U S S S
3–2
Full-time
Ponferradina
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Ponferradina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 27%
35%
19%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
19%
43%
Both score Ø 42%
35%
49%
Average goals
1,5
2,1
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 12. · Ponferradina 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 37 18 12 7 +10 66
2 Levante 38 16 17 5 +15 65
3 Alaves 38 18 11 9 +13 65
4 Granada 37 19 7 11 +19 64
5 Las Palmas 37 16 15 6 +16 63
6 Albacete 38 15 14 9 +5 59
7 Cartagena 38 16 9 13 +5 57
8 Andorra 38 14 9 15 +8 51
9 Mirandes 38 13 12 13 -1 51
10 Tenerife 38 12 14 12 +4 50
11 Burgos 37 12 14 11 +2 50
12 Oviedo 37 13 10 14 -3 49
13 Zaragoza 37 11 15 11 +1 48
14 Huesca 37 10 17 10 +1 47
15 Santander 38 12 11 15 -3 47
16 Villarreal B 37 12 10 15 -5 46
17 Leganes 38 12 10 16 -7 46
18 Sp Gijon 37 10 15 12 -2 45
19 Malaga 37 9 12 16 -6 39
20 Ponferradina 37 7 15 15 -17 36
21 Ibiza 38 6 11 21 -29 29
22 Lugo 37 5 12 20 -26 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oviedo Ponferradina
Dani Calvo 🟨
9′
11′
José Naranjo 0–1
18′
🟨 Agus Medina
31′
Abel Bretones 1–1
own goal
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Viti Rozada
Borja Sánchez
49′
Abel Bretones 🟨
50′
3–1 Manu Vallejo
59′
4–1 Manu Vallejo
Sergi Enrich
64′
67′
🔁 José Amo
↦ Agus Medina
69′
🟨 José Amo
72′
🔁 Naim García
↦ José Naranjo
72′
🔁 Yuri
↦ Hugo Vallejo
Raul Moro 🔁
↦ Viti Rozada
76′
Carlos Pomares 🔁
↦ Borja Sánchez
76′
Mangel Prendes 🔁
↦ K. Koindredi
79′
Mascarenhas 🔁
↦ Manu Vallejo
83′
L. Sequeira 🔁
↦ Sergi Enrich
83′
91′
🟨 Alexandru Paşcanu
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Oviedo

4-4-2
1 Q. Braat G
24 Lucas Ahijado D
4 David Costas D
12 Dani Calvo D
2 Abel Bretones D
7 Viti Rozada M
18 K. Koindredi M
16 Camarasa M
10 Borja Sánchez M
8 Manu Vallejo F
23 Sergi Enrich F
Bench (11)
40 Raul Moro
21 Carlos Pomares
31 Mangel Prendes
38 Mascarenhas
17 L. Sequeira
20 Hugo Rama
11 M. Flores
34 Yayo
15 Oier Luengo
13 Tomeu Nadal
22 Juanfran

Coach: Álvaro

Ponferradina

4-4-2
13 Miguel San Román G
21 Ale Díez D
6 S. Chakla D
4 A. Pașcanu D
16 Moi Delgado D
7 Dani Ojeda M
8 Agus Medina M
11 K. Nwakali M
20 José Naranjo M
19 Edu Espiau F
30 Hugo Vallejo F
Bench (9)
5 José Amo
34 Naim García
10 Yuri
18 Erik Morán
3 Adrián Diéguez
1 A. Abedzadeh
31 N. Fedotov
28 Juan Klein
24 S. Abdulai

Coach: Juanfran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,10
U
2,94
B
3,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,91
U2,5
1,38
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Víctor García · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.