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Pro League

Referee: W Smet

Waregem

U T T S U

2–6

Full-time

Genk

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

4,3

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

2,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,7

This season — Pro League · 13/11 matches

Win Ø 39%

23%

55%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

85%

73%

Both score Ø 75%

85%

64%

Average goals

3,9

3,5

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

2,4

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

37% Possession 63%

6 Shots 20

2 Shots on target 10

1 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waregem 14. · Genk 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	10	8	1	1	+16	25
2	Anderlecht	11	6	4	1	+14	22
3	Kortrijk	14	6	4	4	+3	22
4	Club Brugge	10	6	3	1	+7	21
5	Charleroi	11	5	5	1	+12	20
6	Genk	11	6	2	3	+9	20
7	Antwerp	11	6	2	3	+6	20
8	Eupen	14	6	2	6	+2	20
9	Mechelen	12	6	2	4	+1	20
10	Oostende	14	6	2	6	-5	20
11	Standard	14	5	4	5	-6	19
12	St Truiden	13	4	3	6	-6	15
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	2	7	3	-5	13
14	Waregem	13	3	4	6	-11	13
15	Seraing	13	4	0	9	-11	12
16	Seraing United	13	4	0	9	-11	12
17	Gent	9	3	2	4	+4	11
18	Cercle Brugge	13	2	3	8	-7	9
19	Beerschot VA	14	2	2	10	-12	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Kortrijk	7	4	2	1	+5	14
3	Anderlecht	5	4	1	0	+13	13
4	Genk	6	4	1	1	+10	13
5	Mechelen	6	4	1	1	+5	13
6	Antwerp	6	4	1	1	+4	13
7	Club Brugge	6	3	3	0	+6	12
8	Gent	4	3	1	0	+8	10
9	Oostende	7	3	1	3	-3	10
10	Seraing	6	3	0	3	+2	9
11	Seraing United	6	3	0	3	+2	9
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	2	3	1	+1	9
13	Charleroi	5	2	2	1	+5	8
14	Eupen	7	2	1	4	-2	7
15	Standard	7	1	3	3	-4	6
16	Beerschot VA	8	2	0	6	-4	6
17	St Truiden	7	1	2	4	-5	5
18	Waregem	6	1	2	3	-6	5
19	Cercle Brugge	6	0	2	4	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eupen	7	4	1	2	+4	13
2	Standard	7	4	1	2	-2	13
3	Charleroi	6	3	3	0	+7	12
4	St. Gilloise	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	St Truiden	6	3	1	2	-1	10
6	Oostende	7	3	1	3	-2	10
7	Anderlecht	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Club Brugge	4	3	0	1	+1	9
9	Kortrijk	7	2	2	3	-2	8
10	Waregem	7	2	2	3	-5	8
11	Antwerp	5	2	1	2	+2	7
12	Cercle Brugge	7	2	1	4	-1	7
13	Genk	5	2	1	2	-1	7
14	Mechelen	6	2	1	3	-4	7
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	0	4	2	-6	4
16	Seraing	7	1	0	6	-13	3
17	Seraing United	7	1	0	6	-13	3
18	Beerschot VA	6	0	2	4	-8	2
19	Gent	5	0	1	4	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.