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Pro League
Referee: C Dierick
Mechelen
U T S T T
1–3
Full-time
Eupen
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 7. · Eupen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kortrijk 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Cercle Brugge 3 1 2 0 +1 5
3 Charleroi 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 Standard 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 St Truiden 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 St. Gilloise 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Mechelen 3 1 0 2 -1 3
8 Seraing 2 1 0 1 -1 3
9 Seraing United 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Oostende 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Club Brugge 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Eupen 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Anderlecht 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Genk 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Gent 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Waregem 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Beerschot VA 3 0 1 2 -4 1
19 Antwerp 2 0 0 2 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Eupen
25′
🔁 J. Déom
↦ J. Cools
1–0 Vinicius Souza
G. Hairemans
33′
42′
🟨 Smail Prevljak
Half-time 1–1
49′
S. Peeters 1–1
S. Prevljak
M. Shved 🔁
↦ G. Hairemans
57′
N. Storm 🔁
↦ H. Cuypers
57′
71′
🔁 Carlos Embalo
↦ K. N’Dri
71′
🔁 Leonardo Rocha
↦ S. Prevljak
G. Engvall 🔁
↦ K. Mrabti
79′
85′
E. Agbadou 1–2
S. Peeters
88′
🔁 I. Nuhu
↦ J. Ngoy
88′
🔁 B. Lambert
↦ Leonardo Rocha
90′
Carlos Embalo 1–3
91′
🟨 Carlos Embalo
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-4-2
1 G. Coucke G
3 L. Bijker D
5 S. Walsh D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
7 G. Hairemans M
16 R. Schoofs M
17 S. Oum Gouet M
33 Vinicius Souza D
19 K. Mrabti M
14 H. Cuypers F
9 F. Druijf F
Bench (7)
35 M. Shved
11 N. Storm
20 G. Engvall
8 O. Kaya
2 I. Swers
15 Y. Thoelen
4 S. Bateau

Coach: W. Vrancken

Eupen

3-5-2
33 A. Nurudeen G
32 A. Beck M
28 J. Heris D
5 Jordi Amat D
22 E. Agbadou D
26 J. Cools M
8 S. Peeters M
39 E. Kayembe M
9 S. Prevljak F
7 J. Ngoy F
11 K. N’Dri M
Bench (7)
14 J. Déom
17 Carlos Embalo
19 Leonardo Rocha
29 I. Nuhu
35 B. Lambert
70 P. Akono
30 R. Himmelmann

Coach: S. Krämer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,76
U
4,08
B ✓
4,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,26
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Dierick · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.