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Pro League
Referee: Sebastien Delferiere
Gent
U T T T U
1–0
Full-time
Anderlecht
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 52%
43%
61%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
46%
71%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
68%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,9
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Gent 5. · Anderlecht 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 28 19 5 4 +34 62
2 Anderlecht 28 17 4 7 +13 55
3 Standard 28 15 7 6 +16 52
4 Genk 28 11 12 5 +7 45
5 Gent 28 12 7 9 +14 43
6 Kortrijk 30 12 6 12 +3 42
7 Charleroi 28 11 9 8 +2 42
8 Antwerp 30 10 11 9 -2 41
9 Waregem 30 11 4 15 -5 37
10 St Truiden 30 9 10 11 -12 37
11 Oostende 30 10 6 14 +1 36
12 Beveren 30 9 8 13 -1 35
13 Lokeren 30 8 7 15 -16 31
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 8 6 16 -19 30
15 Eupen 30 6 9 15 -17 27
16 Mechelen 30 6 9 15 -18 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Anderlecht
15′
🔁 F. Amuzu
↦ K. Saief
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Simon
R. Yaremchuk
66′
R. Janga 🔁
↦ F. Andrijašević
76′
78′
🔁 A. Dante
↦ Josué Sá
82′
🔁 S. Ganvoula
↦ R. Morioka
A. Koita 🔁
↦ R. Yaremchuk
84′
M. Sylla 🔁
↦ M. Simon
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Gent

91 L. Kalinić
21 N. Asare
2 S. Gigot
22 D. Bronn
23 F. Andrijašević
6 B. Verstraete
32 T. Foket
44 A. Esiti
31 Y. Kubo
17 R. Yaremchuk
27 M. Simon
Bench (8)
14 R. Janga
28 A. Koita
9 M. Sylla
99 J. David
20 Y. Thoelen
29 T. De Smet
1 A. Swolfs
5 N. Dussenne

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Anderlecht

1 M. Sels
3 O. Deschacht
2 Josué Sá
5 U. Spajić
20 S. Kums
10 R. Morioka
15 K. Saief
8 P. Gerkens
32 L. Dendoncker
56 A. Saelemaekers
91 Ł. Teodorczyk
Bench (9)
40 F. Amuzu
47 A. Dante
35 S. Ganvoula
39 E. Kayembe
17 M. Bruno
9 H. Onyekuru
48 A. Lokonga
30 B. de Jong
4 K. Mbodji

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sebastien Delferiere · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.