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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
Anderlecht
S T T T T
0–0
Full-time
Gent
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 52%
50%
54%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
71%
83%
Both score Ø 71%
67%
75%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,9
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1 Corners 2
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 9. · Gent 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 25 16 6 3 +29 54
2 Standard 25 15 6 4 +21 51
3 Antwerp 24 16 1 7 +11 49
4 St Truiden 30 12 11 7 +11 47
5 Club Brugge 24 14 4 6 +26 46
6 Kortrijk 30 12 7 11 +2 43
7 Charleroi 30 12 6 12 +0 42
8 Gent 24 13 2 9 +13 41
9 Anderlecht 24 12 4 8 +6 40
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 11 7 12 +0 40
11 Waregem 30 8 9 13 -11 33
12 Eupen 30 10 2 18 -23 32
13 Cercle Brugge 30 7 7 16 -24 28
14 Beveren 30 5 12 13 -13 27
15 Oostende 30 6 9 15 -23 27
16 Lokeren 30 5 5 20 -25 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Gent
Sven Kums 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
59′
🔁 Jean-Luc Dompe
↦ Giorgi Chakvetadze
62′
🔁 Roman Bezus
↦ Alexander Sørloth
Ivan Santini 🔁
↦ Francis Amuzu
72′
Adrien Trebel 🟨
74′
Peter Žulj 🔁
↦ Alexis Saelemaekers
85′
Edo Kayembe 🔁
↦ Adrien Trebel
85′
Ivan Santini 🟨
90′
90′
🔁 Giorgi Kvilitaia
↦ Roman Yaremchuk
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
16 Thomas Didillon G
7 Andy Najar D
45 Sebastiaan Bornauw D
3 Jamie Lawrence D
44 Antonio Milić D
20 Sven Kums M
25 Adrien Trebel M
56 Alexis Saelemaekers D
51 Yari Verschaeren M
40 Francis Amuzu F
11 Yannick Bolasie F
Bench (8)
1 Frank Boeckx
4 Bubacarr Sanneh
22 Elias Cobbaut
12 Dennis Appiah
27 Peter Žulj
39 Edo Kayembe
8 Pieter Gerkens
19 Ivan Santini

Gent

4-2-3-1
1 Thomas Kaminski G
2 Arnaud Souquet D
28 Dylan Bronn D
76 Timothy Derijck D
21 Nana Asare D
44 Anderson Esiti M
6 Birger Verstraete M
10 Alexander Sørloth F
16 Jonathan Christian David F
7 Giorgi Chakvetadze M
17 Roman Yaremchuk F
Bench (7)
20 Yannick Thoelen
4 Sigurd Rosted
5 Igor Plastun
10 Roman Bezus
19 Brecht Dejaegere
11 Jean-Luc Dompe
13 Giorgi Kvilitaia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.