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Primeira Liga

Referee: Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca

Rio Ave

T U T U T

0–2

Full-time

Porto

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

2,0

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,67 xG 2,00

48% Possession 52%

13 Shots 14

1 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 3

1 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rio Ave 16. · Porto 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.4	4
2	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.2	4
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
4	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
5	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
6	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
7	Estrela	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.1	2
8	Nacional	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
9	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.4	1
10	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
11	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
12	Estoril	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
13	Famalicao	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
14	Academico Viseu	2	0	1	1	-1	-3.1	1
15	Alverca	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.4	1
16	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
17	Casa Pia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
18	Guimaraes	2	0	0	2	-2	+1.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
2	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
3	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
4	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
5	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
6	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.4	1
7	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
8	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
9	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
10	Estoril	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
11	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.8	0
12	Academico Viseu	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
2	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
3	Nacional	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
4	Academico Viseu	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.4	1
5	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
6	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
7	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
8	Famalicao	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
9	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
10	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
11	Casa Pia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
12	Alverca	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.