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Primeira Liga

Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida

Guimaraes

T U U S U

0–1

Full-time

Benfica

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Benfica

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

17%

100%

Points per game

1,2

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,7

Scored

1,2

3,3

Conceded

1,2

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+3,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 63%

33%

93%

Points per game

1,5

2,8

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

40%

53%

Both score Ø 44%

67%

20%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,7

2,5

Conceded

1,2

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

11 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guimaraes 5. · Benfica 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	15	14	0	1	+33	42
2	Porto	15	12	2	1	+26	38
3	Sp Lisbon	14	8	2	4	+9	26
4	Famalicao	14	7	3	4	+1	24
5	Guimaraes	15	5	7	3	+7	22
6	Rio Ave	15	6	4	5	+2	22
7	Sp Braga	16	6	3	7	+4	21
8	Boavista	16	4	7	5	-2	19
9	Setubal	14	4	7	3	-2	19
10	Vitoria Setubal	14	4	7	3	-2	19
11	Tondela	15	5	4	6	-3	19
12	Moreirense	15	4	6	5	-1	18
13	Gil Vicente	15	4	6	5	-2	18
14	Santa Clara	16	4	6	6	-7	18
15	Maritimo	15	3	7	5	-8	16
16	Belenenses	15	4	3	8	-16	15
17	Portimonense	16	2	8	6	-9	14
18	Pacos Ferreira	15	3	2	10	-13	11
19	Aves	16	2	0	14	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	8	8	0	0	+22	24
2	Benfica	9	8	0	1	+21	24
3	Gil Vicente	9	3	6	0	+5	15
4	Guimaraes	7	4	2	1	+10	14
5	Moreirense	7	4	2	1	+5	14
6	Rio Ave	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Setubal	8	3	5	0	+3	14
8	Vitoria Setubal	8	3	5	0	+3	14
9	Famalicao	6	4	1	1	+5	13
10	Sp Lisbon	6	4	0	2	+4	12
11	Sp Braga	7	3	2	2	+1	11
12	Maritimo	8	2	4	2	-1	10
13	Boavista	8	2	4	2	-1	10
14	Santa Clara	9	2	3	4	-5	9
15	Pacos Ferreira	8	2	1	5	-3	7
16	Belenenses	7	2	1	4	-9	7
17	Aves	7	2	0	5	-2	6
18	Portimonense	7	1	3	3	-3	6
19	Tondela	6	1	1	4	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	6	0	0	+12	18
2	Tondela	9	4	3	2	+1	15
3	Sp Lisbon	8	4	2	2	+5	14
4	Porto	7	4	2	1	+4	14
5	Famalicao	8	3	2	3	-4	11
6	Sp Braga	9	3	1	5	+3	10
7	Boavista	8	2	3	3	-1	9
8	Santa Clara	7	2	3	2	-2	9
9	Rio Ave	7	2	2	3	-2	8
10	Guimaraes	8	1	5	2	-3	8
11	Portimonense	9	1	5	3	-6	8
12	Belenenses	8	2	2	4	-7	8
13	Maritimo	7	1	3	3	-7	6
14	Setubal	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Vitoria Setubal	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Moreirense	8	0	4	4	-6	4
17	Pacos Ferreira	7	1	1	5	-10	4
18	Gil Vicente	6	1	0	5	-7	3
19	Aves	9	0	0	9	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.