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Primeira Liga
Referee: Luis Godinho
Sp Lisbon
S S U T U
2–1
Full-time
Sp Braga
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 21
6 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 7
4 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Lisbon 11. · Sp Braga 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 3 2 0 1 +7 6
2 Benfica 2 2 0 0 +7 6
3 Famalicao 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Boavista 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Sp Braga 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Aves 2 1 0 1 +1 3
7 Moreirense 2 1 0 1 +1 3
8 Santa Clara 2 1 0 1 -1 3
9 Gil Vicente 2 1 0 1 -2 3
10 Tondela 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Sp Lisbon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Guimaraes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Portimonense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Maritimo 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Belenenses 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Setubal 2 0 1 1 -4 1
17 Vitoria Setubal 2 0 1 1 -4 1
18 Rio Ave 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Pacos Ferreira 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Lisbon Sp Braga
1–0 Wendel
Luiz Phellype
16′
38′
🟨 Pablo Santos
Thierry Correia 🟨
43′
2–0 Bruno Fernandes
44′
Half-time 2–0
Abdoulay Diaby 🟨
62′
66′
🟨 Ahmed Hassan
72′
🔁 Paulinho
↦ Koka
72′
🔁 Murilo
↦ Fransérgio
73′
Wilson Eduardo 2–1
Bruno Fernandes 🟨
75′
Luís Carlos 🔁
↦ A. Diaby
77′
79′
🔁 Galeno
↦ Wilson Eduardo
82′
🟨 Ricardo Esgaio
L. Vietto 🔁
↦ Luiz Phellype
85′
Eduardo Henrique 🔁
↦ Wendel
88′
90′
🟨 Claudemir
90′
🟨 Andre Horta
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sp Lisbon

4-3-3
1 Renan Ribeiro G
22 J. Mathieu D
4 S. Coates D
50 Thierry Correia D
9 M. Acuña D
8 Bruno Fernandes M
98 I. Doumbia M
37 Wendel M
23 A. Diaby F
29 Luiz Phellype F
11 Raphinha F
Bench (7)
14 Luís Carlos
10 L. Vietto
5 Eduardo Henrique
81 Luís Maximiano
7 Rafael Camacho
26 C. Borja
3 Tiago Ilori

Coach: M. Keizer

Sp Braga

4-4-2
1 Matheus Magalhães G
47 Ricardo Esgaio D
5 Nuno Sequeira D
14 Pablo D
36 Bruno Viana D
6 Claudemir M
27 Fransérgio M
15 André Horta F
7 Wilson Eduardo M
9 Koka F
21 Ricardo Horta M
Bench (7)
20 Paulinho
19 Murilo
90 Galeno
82 Eduardo
3 Vítor Tormena
11 Diogo Viana
17 João Novais

Coach: Sá Pinto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,97
U
3,40
B
3,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luis Godinho · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.