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Primeira Liga

Referee: André Narciso

Sp Lisbon

U S S S S

2–0

Full-time

Pacos Ferreira

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Pacos Ferreira

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 70%

83%

56%

Points per game

2,7

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 47%

44%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

2,1

1,4

Conceded

0,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

7 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 4

0 Offside 3

27 Free kicks against 20

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 1. · Pacos Ferreira 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	18	15	3	0	+28	48
2	Porto	19	12	5	2	+22	41
3	Sp Braga	19	13	1	5	+15	40
4	Benfica	19	11	5	3	+16	38
5	Pacos Ferreira	18	10	5	3	+12	35
6	Guimaraes	18	9	4	5	+5	31
7	Santa Clara	19	7	4	8	-2	25
8	Moreirense	19	6	7	6	-5	25
9	Rio Ave	19	5	7	7	-6	22
10	Nacional	19	5	6	8	-6	21
11	Portimonense	19	5	4	10	-6	19
12	Belenenses	19	3	9	7	-6	18
13	Tondela	18	5	3	10	-12	18
14	Maritimo	18	5	2	11	-9	17
15	Farense	18	4	4	10	-7	16
16	Gil Vicente	19	4	4	11	-11	16
17	Boavista	19	2	9	8	-13	15
18	Famalicao	19	3	6	10	-15	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	10	7	2	1	+12	23
2	Benfica	10	7	2	1	+10	23
3	Sp Braga	9	7	1	1	+8	22
4	Sp Lisbon	8	6	2	0	+11	20
5	Pacos Ferreira	9	6	2	1	+7	20
6	Tondela	9	5	2	2	+2	17
7	Portimonense	9	4	2	3	+3	14
8	Moreirense	10	3	5	2	-1	14
9	Farense	10	3	3	4	+1	12
10	Rio Ave	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	Nacional	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	Guimaraes	9	4	0	5	-4	12
13	Belenenses	10	2	5	3	-1	11
14	Gil Vicente	9	2	2	5	-3	8
15	Santa Clara	9	2	2	5	-4	8
16	Maritimo	9	2	2	5	-6	8
17	Famalicao	10	1	4	5	-10	7
18	Boavista	9	1	2	6	-10	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	10	9	1	0	+17	28
2	Guimaraes	9	5	4	0	+9	19
3	Porto	9	5	3	1	+10	18
4	Sp Braga	10	6	0	4	+7	18
5	Santa Clara	10	5	2	3	+2	17
6	Benfica	9	4	3	2	+6	15
7	Pacos Ferreira	9	4	3	2	+5	15
8	Moreirense	9	3	2	4	-4	11
9	Boavista	10	1	7	2	-3	10
10	Rio Ave	10	2	4	4	-6	10
11	Maritimo	9	3	0	6	-3	9
12	Nacional	9	2	3	4	-4	9
13	Famalicao	9	2	2	5	-5	8
14	Gil Vicente	10	2	2	6	-8	8
15	Belenenses	9	1	4	4	-5	7
16	Portimonense	10	1	2	7	-9	5
17	Farense	8	1	1	6	-8	4
18	Tondela	9	0	1	8	-14	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.