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Primeira Liga

Referee: Artur Soares Dias

Sp Lisbon

S T U T S

3–1

Full-time

Guimaraes

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Guimaraes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

43%

Points per game

1,6

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

57%

43%

Both score Ø 79%

86%

71%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%

13 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 8. · Guimaraes 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	9	8	0	1	+19	24
2	Benfica	9	8	0	1	+15	24
3	Famalicao	8	6	1	1	+6	19
4	Tondela	10	3	4	3	+0	13
5	Guimaraes	7	3	3	1	+4	12
6	Boavista	8	2	6	0	+2	12
7	Rio Ave	8	3	2	3	+3	11
8	Sp Lisbon	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Santa Clara	7	3	2	2	+0	11
10	Maritimo	9	2	4	3	-3	10
11	Moreirense	9	2	3	4	-2	9
12	Sp Braga	8	2	2	4	-4	8
13	Belenenses	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	Setubal	8	1	5	2	-4	8
15	Vitoria Setubal	8	1	5	2	-4	8
16	Gil Vicente	9	1	5	3	-5	8
17	Portimonense	9	1	4	4	-4	7
18	Pacos Ferreira	8	1	2	5	-9	5
19	Aves	9	1	0	8	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	5	5	0	0	+16	15
2	Benfica	5	4	0	1	+7	12
3	Famalicao	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Guimaraes	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Gil Vicente	6	1	5	0	+1	8
6	Moreirense	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Santa Clara	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Setubal	5	1	4	0	+1	7
9	Vitoria Setubal	5	1	4	0	+1	7
10	Boavista	4	1	3	0	+1	6
11	Rio Ave	4	1	1	2	+1	4
12	Pacos Ferreira	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Maritimo	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Sp Braga	3	1	1	1	-2	4
15	Aves	4	1	0	3	-1	3
16	Sp Lisbon	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Belenenses	4	1	0	3	-4	3
18	Portimonense	4	0	1	3	-4	1
19	Tondela	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Tondela	6	3	3	0	+4	12
3	Famalicao	5	3	1	1	+1	10
4	Porto	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Sp Lisbon	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Rio Ave	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Boavista	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Portimonense	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Maritimo	5	1	3	1	-1	6
10	Belenenses	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Guimaraes	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Sp Braga	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Moreirense	5	0	2	3	-5	2
15	Setubal	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	Vitoria Setubal	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	1	3	-8	1
18	Gil Vicente	3	0	0	3	-6	0
19	Aves	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.