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Süper Lig
Referee: Ü Öztürk
Goztep
U S U S T
1–4
Full-time
Kasimpasa
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goztep Kasimpasa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Goztep 12. · Kasimpasa 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 9 5 3 1 +8 18
2 Fenerbahce 9 5 2 2 +9 17
3 Yeni Malatyaspor 9 5 1 3 +12 16
4 Trabzonspor 8 4 3 1 +7 15
5 Sivasspor 9 4 3 2 +5 15
6 Buyuksehyr 8 4 2 2 +4 14
7 Galatasaray 8 3 4 1 +1 13
8 Konyaspor 9 3 3 3 -2 12
9 Gaziantep 9 3 3 3 -4 12
10 Rizespor 9 3 2 4 -6 11
11 Antalyaspor 9 3 2 4 -7 11
12 Goztep 8 2 3 3 +0 9
13 Besiktas 8 2 3 3 -2 9
14 Ankaragücü 9 2 3 4 -7 9
15 Denizlispor 8 2 2 4 -3 8
16 Kasimpasa 8 2 2 4 -4 8
17 Genclerbirligi 8 1 3 4 +0 6
18 Kayserispor 9 0 4 5 -11 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Goztep Kasimpasa
Wallace 🔁
↦ A. Biyogo Poko
15′
Alpaslan Öztürk 🟨
16′
24′
🟨 Ricardo Quaresma
27′
H. Hajradinović 0–1
F. Koita
37′
🟨 Loret Sadiku
Half-time 1–1
1–1 B. Emir
48′
Beto 🟨
50′
51′
Ricardo Quaresma 1–2
D. Kadah 🔁
↦ S. Aydoğdu
59′
Halil Akbunar 🟨
63′
Berkan Emir 🟨
67′
Y. Öztekin 🔁
↦ H. Akbunar
74′
74′
🔁 Y. Erdoğan
↦ F. Koita
76′
M. Pektemek 1–3
H. Hajradinović
80′
🔁 A. Khalili
↦ L. Sadiku
85′
🟨 Haris Hajradinović
88′
🔁 İ. Depe
↦ Ricardo Quaresma
92′
Y. Erdoğan 1–4
İ. Depe
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Goztep

4-2-3-1
13 Beto G
4 Titi D
20 L. Gassama D
41 B. Emir D
10 Marcio Mossoró M
88 S. Aydoğdu M
11 S. Gürler M
5 A. Öztürk D
17 A. Biyogo Poko M
7 H. Akbunar M
32 C. Jerome F
Bench (10)
25 Wallace
63 D. Kadah
23 Y. Öztekin
54 B. Kırdaroğlu
77 M. Paluli
18 E. Özkayımoğlu
8 Castro
1 M. Bakırbaş
6 C. Borges
55 L. Schwechlen

Coach: T. Tuna

Kasimpasa

4-2-3-1
99 F. Öztürk G
90 S. Popov D
88 V. Sarı D
5 S. Ben Youssef D
23 Karim Hafez D
17 Ricardo Quaresma M
6 L. Sadiku M
35 A. Kara M
10 H. Hajradinović M
19 M. Pektemek M
9 F. Koita F
Bench (10)
7 Y. Erdoğan
21 A. Khalili
26 İ. Depe
77 A. Toptik
60 Ö. Çek
4 U. Yazğılı
14 T. Heintz
1 R. Köse
31 O. Veigneau
44 Jorge Fernandes

Coach: K. Özdeş

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,82
U
3,73
B ✓
4,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,09
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ü Öztürk · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.