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Super League

Referee: Jorge de Sousa

Olympiakos

U S S S S

2–0

Full-time

AEK

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,8

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,8

This season — Super League · 8/7 matches

Win Ø 73%

88%

57%

Points per game

2,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

50%

57%

Both score Ø 54%

50%

57%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

0,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%

10 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 6

4 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 22

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · AEK 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	8	7	1	0	+12	22
2	PAOK	9	6	3	0	+9	21
3	OFI Crete	9	5	2	2	+9	17
4	Larisa	9	4	3	2	+4	15
5	Xanthi	9	5	0	4	-1	15
6	AEK	7	4	2	1	+4	14
7	Volos NFC	9	4	0	5	-7	12
8	Atromitos	8	3	2	3	+4	11
9	Aris	8	3	2	3	+4	11
10	Aris Thessalonikis	8	3	2	3	+4	11
11	Panathinaikos	9	2	2	5	-10	8
12	Asteras Tripolis	7	2	0	5	-4	6
13	Lamia	7	0	4	3	-7	4
14	Panionios	8	1	1	6	-10	4
15	Panetolikos	9	0	2	7	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	OFI Crete	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Olympiakos	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	PAOK	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Volos NFC	5	3	0	2	+0	9
5	Aris	5	2	1	2	+4	7
6	Aris Thessalonikis	5	2	1	2	+4	7
7	Atromitos	5	2	1	2	+4	7
8	AEK	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Xanthi	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Larisa	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Lamia	4	0	4	0	+0	4
12	Asteras Tripolis	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Panionios	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Panetolikos	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Panathinaikos	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Larisa	6	3	2	1	+2	11
2	PAOK	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Olympiakos	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Xanthi	5	3	0	2	-2	9
5	AEK	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Panathinaikos	5	2	1	2	-6	7
7	OFI Crete	5	1	2	2	+0	5
8	Atromitos	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Aris	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Aris Thessalonikis	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Asteras Tripolis	4	1	0	3	-3	3
12	Volos NFC	4	1	0	3	-7	3
13	Panionios	4	0	1	3	-8	1
14	Panetolikos	6	0	1	5	-9	1
15	Lamia	3	0	0	3	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.