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Serie A

Referee: F Maresca

Atalanta

U S S S U

7–1

Full-time

Udinese

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Udinese

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

4,0

0,8

Scored

2,7

0,3

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 51%

63%

38%

Points per game

2,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

88%

13%

Both score Ø 51%

88%

13%

Average goals

4,3

1,3

Scored

2,6

0,5

Conceded

1,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

62% Possession 38%

23 Shots 6

16 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 5

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Atalanta 3. · Udinese 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	9	7	2	0	+8	23
2	Inter	9	7	1	1	+11	22
3	Atalanta	8	5	2	1	+8	17
4	Napoli	8	5	1	2	+7	16
5	Cagliari	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Parma	9	4	1	4	+2	13
7	Roma	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Lazio	8	3	3	2	+7	12
9	Fiorentina	8	3	3	2	+2	12
10	Bologna	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	Torino	8	3	1	4	-1	10
12	Udinese	8	3	1	4	-2	10
13	Milan	8	3	1	4	-3	10
14	Sassuolo	8	3	0	5	-1	9
15	Verona	9	2	3	4	-2	9
16	Lecce	9	2	2	5	-8	8
17	Genoa	9	2	2	5	-9	8
18	Brescia	8	2	1	5	-4	7
19	Spal	8	2	0	6	-9	6
20	Sampdoria	9	1	1	7	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Inter	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	Napoli	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Parma	5	3	0	2	+3	9
5	Udinese	5	3	0	2	+0	9
6	Lazio	4	2	2	0	+6	8
7	Cagliari	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Genoa	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Fiorentina	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Bologna	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Torino	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	Sassuolo	4	2	0	2	+2	6
13	Spal	4	2	0	2	-1	6
14	Roma	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Verona	5	1	2	2	+0	5
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+1	4
17	Milan	4	1	1	2	-3	4
18	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	-4	4
19	Brescia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Lecce	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Inter	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Juventus	5	3	2	0	+3	11
4	Roma	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Napoli	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Cagliari	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Lecce	5	2	1	2	-3	7
8	Milan	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Brescia	5	2	0	3	-2	6
10	Fiorentina	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Bologna	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Lazio	4	1	1	2	+1	4
13	Parma	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Verona	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Torino	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	Sassuolo	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Udinese	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Genoa	4	0	1	3	-10	1
19	Spal	4	0	0	4	-8	0
20	Sampdoria	5	0	0	5	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.