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Champions League
Referee: F Letexier
Ajax
S T U S S
1–2
Full-time
Olympiakos
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
83%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
4,0
1,2
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
2,2
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
71%
29%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
2,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,87 xG 0,53
63% Possession 37%
11 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ajax Olympiakos
28′
🔁 G. Biancone
↦ L. Pirola
Kasper Dolberg ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
33′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Costinha
49′
🟨 Santiago Hezze
52′
⚽ G. Martins 0–1
M. Taremi
Sean Steur ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
66′
O. Edvardsen 🔁
↦ S. Steur
69′
R. Bounida 🔁
↦ D. Klaassen
69′
1–1 K. Dolberg ⚽
69′
72′
🔁 L. Scipioni
↦ C. Mouzakitis
72′
🔁 Chiquinho
↦ A. El Kaabi
79′
⚽ S. Hezze 1–2
Chiquinho
J. Mokio 🔁
↦ O. Gloukh
80′
W. Weghorst 🔁
↦ K. Dolberg
80′
P. Nash 🔁
↦ O. Wijndal
87′
87′
🔁 D. Podence
↦ Rodinei
87′
🔁 B. Onyemaechi
↦ G. Martins
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ajax

4-2-3-1
1 V. Jaros G
3 A. Gaaei D
37 J. Sutalo D
15 Y. Baas D
5 O. Wijndal D
6 Y. Regeer M
48 S. Steur M
10 O. Gloukh M
18 D. Klaassen M
11 M. Godts M
9 K. Dolberg F
Bench (12)
12 J. Heerkens
52 P. Reverson
2 L. Rosa
17 O. Edvardsen
24 J. Mokio
25 W. Weghorst
28 K. Fitz-Jim
30 A. Bouwman
41 G. Alders
43 R. Bounida
53 M. van der Lans
66 P. Nash

Coach: Oscar Garcia Junyent

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
20 Costinha D
45 P. Retsos D
5 L. Pirola D
3 F. Ortega D
32 S. Hezze M
96 C. Mouzakitis M
23 Rodinei M
99 M. Taremi M
10 G. Martins M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (12)
31 N. Botis
61 G. Kouraklis
4 G. Biancone
6 A. Kalogeropoulos
8 D. Nascimento
14 D. Garcia
16 L. Scipioni
22 Chiquinho
27 G. Strefezza
56 D. Podence
70 B. Onyemaechi
80 S. Pnevmonidis

Coach: Luis Mendilibar Jose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.