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Eredivisie
Referee: R Martens
Heracles
T T U T T
2–1
Full-time
For Sittard
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles For Sittard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,8
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 28%
20%
35%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
75%
60%
Both score Ø 63%
55%
70%
Average goals
4,0
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
2,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,01 xG 0,60
46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 18. · For Sittard 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 20 17 2 1 +36 +19.3 53
2 Feyenoord 20 12 3 5 +22 +19.9 39
3 Nijmegen 20 11 5 4 +18 +6.8 38
4 Ajax 20 9 8 3 +11 +6.9 35
5 Sparta Rotterdam 21 11 2 8 -7 -2.8 35
6 AZ Alkmaar 21 9 5 7 +1 +13.3 32
7 Twente 21 7 10 4 +7 +20.7 31
8 Groningen 20 9 4 7 +4 +11.3 31
9 Zwolle 21 7 5 9 -13 -14.7 26
10 For Sittard 20 7 4 9 -4 -12.4 25
11 Heerenveen 18 6 5 7 +1 +11.9 23
12 Excelsior 21 6 5 10 -15 -13.1 23
13 Utrecht 18 6 4 8 +3 -1.6 22
14 Go Ahead Eagles 19 4 9 6 -3 -12.1 21
15 Volendam 20 4 5 11 -14 -20.1 17
16 NAC Breda 21 3 7 11 -11 -8.2 16
17 Telstar 21 3 7 11 -12 -9.8 16
18 Heracles 20 4 2 14 -24 -15.4 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles For Sittard
1–0 A. Hrustic
D. van der Kust
26′
Lequincio Zeefuik ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
31′
33′
🟨 Justin Hubner
37′
K. Sierhuis 1–1
K. Peterson
2–1 A. Van Hoorenbeeck
44′
Half-time 2–1
56′
🟨 Shawn Adewoye
Naci Ünüvar 🟨
58′
60′
🟨 Iván Márquez
62′
🔁 P. Gladon
↦ S. Adewoye
M. Engels 🔁
↦ N. Unuvar
73′
77′
🔁 D. Limnios
↦ I. Pinto
J. Wieckhoff 🔁
↦ M. Benita
84′
T. van Gilst 🔁
↦ A. Hrustic
84′
L. Kulenovic 🔁
↦ L. Zeefuik
84′
88′
🔁 A. Halilovic
↦ K. Peterson
89′
🔁 S. Bastien
↦ E. Michut
Walid Ould-Chikh 🟨
90′
J. Zamburek 🔁
↦ W. Ould Chikh
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Heracles

3-4-2-1
22 R. Pasveer G
23 M. te Wierik D
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
24 I. Mesik D
2 M. Benita M
70 A. Hrustic M
4 D. Mirani M
5 D. van der Kust M
73 W. Ould Chikh F
9 N. Unuvar F
25 L. Zeefuik F
Bench (12)
16 T. Jansink
30 R. Mantel
3 J. Wieckhoff
6 S. Cestic
7 B. Limbombe
8 M. Engels
13 J. Zamburek
17 T. van Gilst
19 L. Kulenovic
21 Y. Borges Sanches
27 J. Tijink
39 S. Blokhuis

Coach: Ernest Faber

For Sittard

3-4-2-1
31 M. Branderhorst G
4 S. Adewoye D
44 I. Marquez D
21 N. Kasanwirjo D
12 I. Pinto M
20 E. Michut M
23 P. Brittijn M
28 J. Hubner M
52 M. Ihattaren F
7 K. Peterson F
9 K. Sierhuis F
Bench (9)
22 S. Bastien
46 M. Gbemou
19 P. Gladon
10 A. Halilovic
18 D. Limnios
25 N. Martens
38 T. Schenkhuizen
48 L. van Parys
6 S. van Ottele

Coach: Danny Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,34
U
3,36
B
2,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Martens · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.