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Champions League
Referee: A Hernandez
Liverpool
T S S T T
1–4
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,8
Scored
0,8
3,5
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
75%
25%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,3
4,0
Scored
2,3
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,50 xG 2,17
63% Possession 37%
27 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 6
9 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
11 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Jan -25 PSV Eindhoven – Liverpool 3–2

Match report

Liverpool PSV Eindhoven
6′
⚽ I. Perisic 0–1
1–1 D. Szoboszlai ⚽
C. Gakpo
16′
Virgil van Dijk 🟨
17′
Half-time 1–2
56′
⚽ G. Til 1–2
Mauro Junior
A. Isak 🔁
↦ H. Ekitike
61′
69′
🔁 R. Pepi
↦ G. Til
69′
🔁 C. Driouech
↦ I. Perisic
73′
⚽ C. Driouech 1–3
R. Pepi
F. Chiesa 🔁
↦ I. Konate
76′
89′
🔁 E. Bajraktarevic
↦ D. Man
90′
⚽ C. Driouech 1–4
S. Dest
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Liverpool

4-2-3-1
25 G. Mamardashvili G
17 C. Jones D
5 I. Konate D
4 V. van Dijk D
6 M. Kerkez D
38 R. Gravenberch M
10 A. Mac Allister M
11 M. Salah M
8 D. Szoboszlai M
18 C. Gakpo M
22 H. Ekitike F
Bench (9)
28 F. Woodman
74 K. Misciur
2 J. Gomez
3 W. Endo
9 A. Isak
14 F. Chiesa
26 A. Robertson
42 T. Nyoni
73 R. Ngumoha

Coach: Arne Slot

PSV Eindhoven

4-4-2
32 M. Kovar G
8 S. Dest D
22 J. Schouten D
3 Y. Gasiorowski D
2 A. Salah-Eddine D
27 D. Man M
17 Mauro Junior M
23 J. Veerman M
5 I. Perisic M
34 I. Saibari F
20 G. Til F
Bench (12)
1 N. Olij
51 T. Smolenaars
4 A. Obispo
6 R. Flamingo
9 R. Pepi
10 P. Wanner
11 C. Driouech
19 E. Bajraktarevic
21 M. Boadu
25 K. Sildillia
31 N. Fernandez
39 A. Nagalo

Coach: Peter Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Hernandez · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.