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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
Feyenoord
U S T S S
2–1
Full-time
Utrecht
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 29/27 matches
Win Ø 54%
66%
41%
Points per game
2,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
66%
59%
Both score Ø 56%
52%
59%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
2,3
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
16 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 3. · Utrecht 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 30 24 3 3 +71 75
2 PSV Eindhoven 30 23 2 5 +40 71
3 Feyenoord 29 19 4 6 +39 61
4 Twente 30 18 7 5 +15 61
5 AZ Alkmaar 26 15 3 8 +17 48
6 Utrecht 27 11 8 8 +9 41
7 Vitesse 26 12 3 11 -9 39
8 Groningen 29 9 9 11 -6 36
9 Go Ahead Eagles 29 10 6 13 -8 36
10 Nijmegen 30 9 8 13 -12 35
11 Heerenveen 28 9 7 12 -8 34
12 Cambuur 30 10 3 17 -18 33
13 Heracles 29 8 6 15 -11 30
14 Waalwijk 30 6 10 14 -17 28
15 Zwolle 30 7 5 18 -20 26
16 Willem II 30 7 5 18 -28 26
17 For Sittard 29 7 5 17 -31 26
18 Sparta Rotterdam 30 5 10 15 -23 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Utrecht
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 O. Boussaid
↦ T. Douvikas
0–1 M. van der Hoorn
own goal
48′
58′
🟨 Hidde ter Avest
62′
🔁 D. Warmerdam
↦ D. van der Kust
65′
S. van de Streek 0–2
O. Boussaid
M. Pedersen 🔁
↦ M. Senesi
66′
P. Wålemark 🔁
↦ R. Nelson
71′
73′
🔁 T. St. Jago
↦ H. ter Avest
73′
🔁 M. Sylla
↦ P. Almqvist
76′
🔁 J. van Overeem
↦ Q. Timber
81′
🟨 Fabian De Keijzer
C. Bassett 🔁
↦ B. Linssen
84′
1–2 L. Sinisterra
C. Bassett
96′
Luis Sinisterra 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-2-3-1
21 O. Marciano G
18 G. Trauner D
5 T. Malacia D
4 M. Senesi D
3 L. Geertruida D
17 F. Aursnes M
10 O. Kökçü M
11 B. Linssen M
33 C. Dessers F
14 R. Nelson M
7 L. Sinisterra M
Bench (9)
2 M. Pedersen
23 P. Wålemark
19 C. Bassett
25 R. Hendriks
30 T. Jansen
6 J. Hendrix
13 P. Sandler
16 V. Cojocaru
52 D. Ladan

Coach: A. Slot

Utrecht

4-3-1-2
16 F. de Keijzer G
14 W. Janssen D
33 M. van der Hoorn D
5 H. ter Avest D
35 D. van der Kust D
6 A. Maher M
22 S. van de Streek M
10 S. Gustafson M
27 Q. Timber M
17 P. Almqvist F
9 T. Douvikas F
Bench (10)
26 O. Boussaid
21 D. Warmerdam
3 T. St. Jago
29 M. Sylla
8 J. van Overeem
61 K. Gadellaa
32 E. Oelschlägel
30 R. Balk
44 R. Kluivert
38 R. Shein

Coach: R. Kruijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,37
U
5,21
B
7,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,45
U2,5
2,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.