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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
PSV Eindhoven
T S U U T
3–0
Full-time
Willem II
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 53%
48%
57%
Points per game
1,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
67%
48%
Both score Ø 58%
67%
48%
Average goals
3,3
2,6
Scored
2,1
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
20 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 5. · Willem II 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 21 16 2 3 +43 50
2 AZ Alkmaar 21 15 2 4 +31 47
3 Feyenoord 21 11 7 3 +11 40
4 Willem II 21 12 4 5 +8 40
5 PSV Eindhoven 21 10 6 5 +18 36
6 Vitesse 22 10 5 7 +9 35
7 Utrecht 21 10 4 7 +12 34
8 Groningen 22 9 5 8 +4 32
9 Heracles 22 8 5 9 +4 29
10 Heerenveen 21 7 7 7 +3 28
11 Sparta Rotterdam 21 6 6 9 -6 24
12 Twente 21 6 6 9 -9 24
13 For Sittard 22 6 5 11 -22 23
14 FC Emmen 21 6 4 11 -16 22
15 Zwolle 21 6 3 12 -16 21
16 VVV Venlo 21 6 2 13 -26 20
17 Den Haag 21 4 5 12 -20 17
18 Waalwijk 21 3 2 16 -28 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,59
U
4,25
B
5,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,37
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.