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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kamphuis
Heracles
T S T S T
0–0
Full-time
Vitesse
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 25/21 matches
Win Ø 40%
28%
52%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
44%
67%
Both score Ø 52%
52%
52%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 13. · Vitesse 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 26 20 3 3 +66 63
2 PSV Eindhoven 25 19 1 5 +31 58
3 Feyenoord 25 16 4 5 +34 52
4 Twente 25 14 6 5 +9 48
5 AZ Alkmaar 23 15 2 6 +19 47
6 Utrecht 23 11 6 6 +12 39
7 Vitesse 21 11 2 8 -7 35
8 Groningen 26 8 9 9 -4 33
9 Cambuur 26 10 3 13 -12 33
10 Nijmegen 26 8 7 11 -10 31
11 Heerenveen 25 7 6 12 -12 27
12 Go Ahead Eagles 26 7 6 13 -16 27
13 Heracles 25 7 5 13 -8 26
14 Waalwijk 26 5 9 12 -14 24
15 Willem II 26 6 4 16 -23 22
16 For Sittard 25 6 4 15 -27 22
17 Sparta Rotterdam 24 4 8 12 -18 20
18 Zwolle 25 5 5 15 -20 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Vitesse
16′
🟨 Thomas Buitink
20′
🟨 Toni Domgjoni
37′
🔁 E. Cornelisse
↦ G. de Regt
Half-time 0–0
S. Armenteros 🔁
↦ S. Bakış
46′
L. Schoofs 🔁
↦ A. Ouahim
46′
46′
🔁 M. Bero
↦ A. Grbić
61′
🔁 Y. Gboho
↦ N. Frederiksen
61′
🔁 L. Openda
↦ T. Buitink
E. Hansson 🔁
↦ B. Başacıkoğlu
62′
K. Jakobsen 🔁
↦ N. Laursen
62′
Kasper Lunding 🟨
65′
75′
🟨 Matúš Bero
78′
🔁 D. Huisman
↦ A. Oroz
Giacomo Quagliata 🟨
85′
E. Sierra 🔁
↦ L. de la Torre
92′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Heracles

4-4-2
26 K. Bucker G
13 M. Knoester D
5 M. Rente D
23 N. Fadiga D
3 G. Quagliata D
30 A. Ouahim F
6 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
14 L. de la Torre M
9 S. Bakış F
7 B. Başacıkoğlu M
11 N. Laursen M
Bench (11)
33 S. Armenteros
15 L. Schoofs
29 E. Hansson
20 K. Jakobsen
8 E. Sierra
21 J. Hoogma
17 A. Szőke
28 R. Jalving
25 R. Polley
12 R. Roosken
27 M. İbrahimoğlu

Coach: F. Wormuth

Vitesse

3-4-2-1
1 M. Schubert G
18 T. Hájek D
32 M. Wittek M
6 J. Rasmussen D
16 A. Oroz D
8 S. Tronstad M
22 T. Domgjoni M
9 A. Grbić F
29 T. Buitink F
11 N. Frederiksen F
54 G. de Regt M
Bench (9)
39 E. Cornelisse
21 M. Bero
20 Y. Gboho
7 L. Openda
40 D. Huisman
24 J. Houwen
33 D. Reiziger
42 M. Manhoef
55 M. Steffen

Coach: T. Letsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,46
U ✓
3,36
B
2,85
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Kamphuis · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.