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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
Groningen
S U T S T
1–0
Full-time
Zwolle
T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 19/21 matches
Win Ø 36%
53%
19%
Points per game
1,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
47%
48%
Both score Ø 52%
47%
57%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Groningen 6. · Zwolle 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 20 16 2 2 +51 50
2 PSV Eindhoven 21 14 4 3 +27 46
3 Vitesse 21 13 3 5 +15 42
4 AZ Alkmaar 21 11 7 3 +14 40
5 Feyenoord 18 11 3 4 +17 36
6 Groningen 19 10 3 6 +5 33
7 Twente 21 8 6 7 +5 30
8 Heerenveen 21 7 8 6 +2 29
9 Heracles 21 8 4 9 -6 28
10 Utrecht 18 6 8 4 +0 26
11 For Sittard 21 7 4 10 -9 25
12 Zwolle 21 4 11 6 -7 23
13 Sparta Rotterdam 19 6 4 9 -3 22
14 VVV Venlo 20 6 4 10 -15 22
15 Waalwijk 22 4 7 11 -16 19
16 Willem II 20 3 4 13 -18 13
17 Den Haag 20 2 6 12 -28 12
18 FC Emmen 22 0 6 16 -34 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen Zwolle
1–0 J. Larsen
G. Gudmundsson
16′
Half-time 1–0
Mike te Wierik 🟨
48′
51′
🟨 Immanuel Pherai
59′
🟥 Pelle Clement
63′
🔁 K. Paal
↦ M. Saymak
63′
🔁 D. Huiberts
↦ T. Buitink
71′
🔁 E. Reijnders
↦ I. Pherai
D. Dankerlui 🔁
↦ T. Suslov
78′
P. Abraham 🔁
↦ A. da Cruz
78′
83′
🔁 J. Drost
↦ V. Misidjan
W. Dammers 🔁
↦ J. Larsen
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Groningen

4-2-3-1
1 S. Padt G
3 B. van Hintum D
32 M. te Wierik D
5 K. Itakura D
7 R. Lundqvist M
26 D. van Kaam M
21 A. da Cruz M
15 G. Gudmundsson D
11 M. El Hankouri M
9 J. Larsen F
31 T. Suslov M
Bench (9)
2 D. Dankerlui
19 P. Abraham
4 W. Dammers
17 Migue Leal
34 K. Slor
33 J. van Kaam
8 S. Schreck
25 J. de Boer
23 P. Bråtveit

Coach: D. Buijs

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 X. Mous G
3 T. Lam D
4 Y. Nakayama D
31 S. van Wermeskerken D
6 M. Saymak M
13 R. Strieder D
22 P. Clement M
25 I. Pherai M
7 V. Misidjan F
14 M. Benson F
29 T. Buitink F
Bench (11)
5 K. Paal
30 D. Huiberts
23 E. Reijnders
11 J. Drost
8 R. Ghoochannejhad
40 M. Hauptmeijer
34 D. Chirino
21 S. Lagsir
16 N. Bertrams
20 T. van den Belt
36 M. Doue

Coach: J. Stegeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,04
U
3,43
B
3,54
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.