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Eredivisie

Referee: A Lindhout

Ajax

S S S S S

1–1

Full-time

Utrecht

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 28/26 matches

Win Ø 62%

82%

42%

Points per game

2,6

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

71%

54%

Both score Ø 58%

50%

65%

Average goals

3,8

2,9

Scored

3,1

1,6

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

71% Possession 29%

21 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 1

9 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 1. · Utrecht 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	28	23	3	2	+66	72
2	PSV Eindhoven	29	18	7	4	+34	61
3	AZ Alkmaar	29	18	7	4	+28	61
4	Vitesse	29	17	5	7	+18	56
5	Feyenoord	27	15	7	5	+29	52
6	Groningen	28	13	6	9	+2	45
7	Utrecht	26	11	8	7	+9	41
8	Heracles	29	11	6	12	-8	39
9	Twente	29	9	10	10	+2	37
10	Heerenveen	29	9	10	10	-1	37
11	For Sittard	29	10	4	15	-12	34
12	Sparta Rotterdam	28	9	6	13	-6	33
13	Zwolle	29	7	11	11	-8	32
14	Waalwijk	29	6	8	15	-17	26
15	Willem II	29	5	7	17	-30	22
16	VVV Venlo	29	6	4	19	-36	22
17	FC Emmen	29	4	9	16	-28	21
18	Den Haag	29	2	10	17	-42	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	11	2	1	+23	35
2	Ajax	13	11	1	1	+31	34
3	Vitesse	15	10	4	1	+15	34
4	AZ Alkmaar	15	10	2	3	+15	32
5	Feyenoord	12	8	3	1	+22	27
6	Groningen	15	7	5	3	+5	26
7	Heracles	15	7	3	5	+9	24
8	Heerenveen	14	6	4	4	+7	22
9	Zwolle	15	5	6	4	+1	21
10	Utrecht	14	5	5	4	+1	20
11	Waalwijk	15	4	4	7	-3	16
12	Sparta Rotterdam	14	4	3	7	-2	15
13	Twente	14	3	5	6	-2	14
14	For Sittard	15	4	2	9	-9	14
15	Willem II	14	4	2	8	-11	14
16	VVV Venlo	15	3	3	9	-22	12
17	FC Emmen	14	2	4	8	-15	10
18	Den Haag	14	0	6	8	-16	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	12	2	1	+35	38
2	AZ Alkmaar	14	8	5	1	+13	29
3	PSV Eindhoven	15	7	5	3	+11	26
4	Feyenoord	15	7	4	4	+7	25
5	Twente	15	6	5	4	+4	23
6	Vitesse	14	7	1	6	+3	22
7	Utrecht	12	6	3	3	+8	21
8	For Sittard	14	6	2	6	-3	20
9	Groningen	13	6	1	6	-3	19
10	Sparta Rotterdam	14	5	3	6	-4	18
11	Heerenveen	15	3	6	6	-8	15
12	Heracles	14	4	3	7	-17	15
13	Zwolle	14	2	5	7	-9	11
14	FC Emmen	15	2	5	8	-13	11
15	VVV Venlo	14	3	1	10	-14	10
16	Waalwijk	14	2	4	8	-14	10
17	Den Haag	15	2	4	9	-26	10
18	Willem II	15	1	5	9	-19	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.