Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ajax
|
31 | 25 | 4 | 2 | +72 | 79 |
| 2 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +35 | 64 |
| 3 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | +28 | 64 |
| 4 |
Vitesse
|
31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | +19 | 60 |
| 5 |
Feyenoord
|
29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +28 | 53 |
| 6 |
Utrecht
|
29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 48 |
| 7 |
Groningen
|
30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | +0 | 45 |
| 8 |
Heracles
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -6 | 42 |
| 9 |
For Sittard
|
31 | 12 | 4 | 15 | -6 | 40 |
| 10 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 |
Twente
|
31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 37 |
| 12 |
Heerenveen
|
30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | -3 | 37 |
| 13 |
Zwolle
|
31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 |
Waalwijk
|
31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -20 | 26 |
| 15 |
Willem II
|
31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -30 | 25 |
| 16 |
FC Emmen
|
31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -30 | 24 |
| 17 |
VVV Venlo
|
31 | 6 | 4 | 21 | -42 | 22 |
| 18 |
Den Haag
|
31 | 3 | 10 | 18 | -44 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
PSV Eindhoven
Groningen
VVV Venlo
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Heracles
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.