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Super League
Referee: L Tschudi
Vaduz
S S T U T
1–2
Full-time
Luzern
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vaduz Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Super League · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 29%
26%
32%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
45%
71%
Both score Ø 65%
52%
77%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 12
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vaduz 9. · Luzern 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 30 20 9 1 +35 69
2 Basel 31 12 8 11 +6 44
3 Servette 31 12 8 11 -7 44
4 Lugano 31 10 13 8 +2 43
5 Lausanne 30 11 8 11 +3 41
6 Luzern 31 10 9 12 +3 39
7 St. Gallen 31 9 10 12 -5 37
8 Zurich 31 9 8 14 -6 35
9 Vaduz 31 8 9 14 -16 33
10 Sion 31 6 12 13 -15 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vaduz Luzern
6′
D. Sorgić 0–1
I. Ndiaye
12′
M. Burch 0–2
L. Schaub
1–2 G. Lüchinger
C. Gasser
13′
Half-time 1–2
P. Dorn 🔁
↦ C. Gasser
46′
46′
🔁 S. Sidler
↦ M. Frýdek
D. Đokić 🔁
↦ M. Gajić
58′
T. Çiçek 🔁
↦ M. Di Giusto
58′
E. Ibrisimovic 🔁
↦ M. Sutter
58′
Yago Gomes 🟨
71′
B. Prokopič 🔁
↦ Y. Gomes
74′
80′
🔁 L. Emini
↦ L. Schaub
84′
🟨 Silvan Sidler
Elvin Ibrisimovic 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Varol Tasar
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Vaduz

3-5-1-1
1 B. Büchel G
4 D. Simani D
15 Y. Schmid D
22 N. Hug M
24 C. Gasser M
5 J. Schmied D
14 M. Gajić M
30 G. Lüchinger M
7 M. Di Giusto F
35 Y. Gomes M
9 M. Sutter F
Bench (7)
21 P. Dorn
19 D. Đokić
11 T. Çiçek
37 E. Ibrisimovic
28 B. Prokopič
6 F. Rahimi
18 J. Ospelt

Coach: M. Frick

Luzern

4-4-2
32 M. Müller G
17 S. Grether D
13 M. Frýdek D
4 S. Knežević D
46 M. Burch D
10 L. Schaub F
16 V. Tasar M
3 J. Wehrmann M
19 F. Ugrinic M
7 I. Ndiaye M
9 D. Sorgić F
Bench (7)
34 S. Sidler
31 L. Emini
1 D. Zibung
22 Y. Alounga
5 Lucas
71 L. Lang
23 S. Borquaye

Coach: F. Celestini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Tschudi · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.