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Primeira Liga

Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro

Portimonense

S S S T U

0–0

Full-time

Rio Ave

T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Rio Ave

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,8

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 26%

31%

21%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

48%

28%

Both score Ø 40%

45%

34%

Average goals

2,4

1,9

Scored

1,1

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

6 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 10

0 Offside 2

21 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Portimonense 11. · Rio Ave 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	29	22	7	0	+37	73
2	Porto	30	21	7	2	+34	70
3	Benfica	30	20	6	4	+37	66
4	Sp Braga	30	18	4	8	+19	58
5	Pacos Ferreira	30	14	6	10	+0	48
6	Guimaraes	30	12	5	13	-4	41
7	Santa Clara	29	10	6	13	+2	36
8	Moreirense	30	8	12	10	-9	36
9	Tondela	30	10	5	15	-17	35
10	Belenenses	30	7	13	10	-7	34
11	Portimonense	29	9	6	14	-4	33
12	Maritimo	30	10	3	17	-15	33
13	Gil Vicente	30	9	5	16	-11	32
14	Famalicao	30	7	10	13	-10	31
15	Rio Ave	29	6	12	11	-10	30
16	Boavista	29	6	10	13	-11	28
17	Farense	30	6	9	15	-10	27
18	Nacional	29	6	6	17	-21	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	15	11	3	1	+17	36
2	Benfica	15	11	2	2	+15	35
3	Sp Lisbon	14	10	4	0	+17	34
4	Sp Braga	15	10	2	3	+11	32
5	Pacos Ferreira	15	10	2	3	+6	32
6	Tondela	15	8	2	5	+0	26
7	Guimaraes	15	7	1	7	-3	22
8	Portimonense	14	6	3	5	+4	21
9	Belenenses	15	5	5	5	-2	20
10	Santa Clara	14	5	4	5	+5	19
11	Rio Ave	15	4	6	5	-1	18
12	Moreirense	15	3	9	3	-2	18
13	Maritimo	15	5	2	8	-10	17
14	Boavista	15	4	3	8	-6	15
15	Gil Vicente	15	4	3	8	-6	15
16	Nacional	15	4	3	8	-8	15
17	Farense	15	3	5	7	-2	14
18	Famalicao	15	2	7	6	-9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	15	12	3	0	+20	39
2	Porto	15	10	4	1	+17	34
3	Benfica	15	9	4	2	+22	31
4	Sp Braga	15	8	2	5	+8	26
5	Guimaraes	15	5	4	6	-1	19
6	Famalicao	15	5	3	7	-1	18
7	Moreirense	15	5	3	7	-7	18
8	Santa Clara	15	5	2	8	-3	17
9	Gil Vicente	15	5	2	8	-5	17
10	Maritimo	15	5	1	9	-5	16
11	Pacos Ferreira	15	4	4	7	-6	16
12	Belenenses	15	2	8	5	-5	14
13	Boavista	14	2	7	5	-5	13
14	Farense	15	3	4	8	-8	13
15	Portimonense	15	3	3	9	-8	12
16	Rio Ave	14	2	6	6	-9	12
17	Nacional	14	2	3	9	-13	9
18	Tondela	15	2	3	10	-17	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.