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Premiership
Referee: G Aitken
Hibernian
T S U T S
0–1
Full-time
ST Johnstone
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Premiership · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 39%
49%
29%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
43%
37%
Both score Ø 42%
37%
46%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
8 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 3. · ST Johnstone 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 35 29 6 0 +69 93
2 Celtic 35 21 10 4 +48 73
3 Hibernian 35 17 8 10 +13 59
4 Aberdeen 35 14 11 10 +2 53
5 Livingston 35 12 8 15 -8 44
6 St Mirren 35 11 10 14 -7 43
7 Dundee United 35 10 12 13 -16 42
8 ST Johnstone 35 10 11 14 -7 41
9 Motherwell 35 11 8 16 -17 41
10 Kilmarnock 35 9 5 21 -11 32
11 Ross County 35 8 6 21 -35 30
12 Hamilton 35 6 9 20 -31 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Mar -21 ST Johnstone – Hibernian 1–0 24. Nov -20 Hibernian – ST Johnstone 2–2 23. Aug -20 ST Johnstone – Hibernian 0–1 9. Nov -19 ST Johnstone – Hibernian 1–4 24. Aug -19 Hibernian – ST Johnstone 2–2

Match report

Hibernian ST Johnstone
22′
⚽ G. Middleton 0–1
Joe Newell 🟨
31′
Jackson Irvine 🟨
42′
45′
🟨 Callum Booth
Half-time 0–1
62′
🟨 Alistair McCann
K. Magennis 🔁
↦ D. Wright
63′
Paul McGinn 🟨
70′
M. Hallberg 🔁
↦ A. Gogić
72′
72′
🔁 C. Conway
↦ G. Middleton
S. Bradley 🔁
↦ J. Newell
79′
L. Stevenson 🔁
↦ J. Doig
79′
79′
🔁 D. Wotherspoon
↦ M. OHalloran
79′
🔁 S. May
↦ C. Kane
83′
🔁 S. Rooney
↦ J. Brown
83′
🔁 M. Davidson
↦ C. Bryson
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-4-2
1 O. Marciano G
4 P. Hanlon D
6 P. McGinn D
13 A. Gogić M
5 R. Porteous D
25 J. Doig D
10 M. Boyle F
11 J. Newell M
36 J. Irvine M
8 D. Wright M
9 C. Doidge F
Bench (7)
7 K. Magennis
20 M. Hallberg
43 S. Bradley
16 L. Stevenson
24 D. McGregor
33 M. Macey
2 D. Gray

Coach: J. Ross

ST Johnstone

3-4-2-1
12 E. Parish G
24 C. Booth M
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
5 J. Kerr D
2 J. Brown M
13 C. Bryson M
18 A. McCann M
11 M. O'Halloran F
9 C. Kane F
16 G. Middleton F
Bench (8)
7 C. Conway
10 D. Wotherspoon
14 S. May
19 S. Rooney
8 M. Davidson
15 C. Gilmour
48 J. Wills
17 G. Melamed

Coach: C. Davidson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
🔒
U
3,25
🔒
B ✓
3,33
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,36
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,57
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Aitken · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.