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Serie B

Brescia

T S U U T

3–1

Full-time

Spal

S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 34%

32%

35%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

59%

35%

Both score Ø 58%

65%

50%

Average goals

2,9

2,3

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

16 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 2

5 Corners 5

14 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brescia 10. · Spal 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Empoli	34	17	16	1	+32	67
2	Lecce	34	16	13	5	+25	61
3	Salernitana	34	16	12	6	+8	60
4	Monza	34	14	13	7	+14	55
5	Venezia	34	14	11	9	+12	53
6	Cittadella	34	13	11	10	+12	50
7	Spal	34	12	14	8	+3	50
8	Chievo	34	12	13	9	+10	49
9	Reggina	34	12	11	11	+1	47
10	Brescia	34	11	11	12	+0	44
11	Pisa	34	10	14	10	-3	44
12	Cremonese	34	11	10	13	+0	43
13	Pordenone	34	9	14	11	+1	41
14	Vicenza	34	9	14	11	-4	41
15	Frosinone	34	9	13	12	-11	40
16	Ascoli	34	9	10	15	-12	37
17	Cosenza	34	5	17	12	-12	32
18	Reggiana	34	8	7	19	-24	31
19	Pescara	34	6	11	17	-23	29
20	Virtus Entella	34	4	11	19	-29	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	17	10	6	1	+13	36
2	Empoli	17	9	8	0	+18	35
3	Chievo	17	9	4	4	+12	31
4	Monza	17	8	6	3	+12	30
5	Cittadella	17	8	6	3	+10	30
6	Venezia	17	9	2	6	+7	29
7	Spal	17	7	6	4	+6	27
8	Pisa	17	6	9	2	+6	27
9	Reggina	17	8	3	6	+2	27
10	Lecce	17	6	8	3	+10	26
11	Brescia	17	7	5	5	+6	26
12	Cremonese	17	6	5	6	+2	23
13	Ascoli	17	6	5	6	-5	23
14	Pordenone	17	4	10	3	+7	22
15	Vicenza	17	4	9	4	+0	21
16	Reggiana	17	5	5	7	-4	20
17	Frosinone	17	3	8	6	-7	17
18	Cosenza	17	2	9	6	-5	15
19	Pescara	17	3	5	9	-9	14
20	Virtus Entella	17	3	4	10	-15	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	17	10	5	2	+15	35
2	Empoli	17	8	8	1	+14	32
3	Monza	17	6	7	4	+2	25
4	Venezia	17	5	9	3	+5	24
5	Salernitana	17	6	6	5	-5	24
6	Spal	17	5	8	4	-3	23
7	Frosinone	17	6	5	6	-4	23
8	Cittadella	17	5	5	7	+2	20
9	Reggina	17	4	8	5	-1	20
10	Cremonese	17	5	5	7	-2	20
11	Vicenza	17	5	5	7	-4	20
12	Pordenone	17	5	4	8	-6	19
13	Chievo	17	3	9	5	-2	18
14	Brescia	17	4	6	7	-6	18
15	Cosenza	17	3	8	6	-7	17
16	Pisa	17	4	5	8	-9	17
17	Pescara	17	3	6	8	-14	15
18	Ascoli	17	3	5	9	-7	14
19	Reggiana	17	3	2	12	-20	11
20	Virtus Entella	17	1	7	9	-14	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.