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Süper Lig
Referee: Ali Palabıyık
Besiktas
S U U S S
7–0
Full-time
Hatayspor
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Hatayspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 56%
67%
44%
Points per game
2,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
56%
Both score Ø 55%
56%
53%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 5–0

61% Possession 39%
17 Shots 9
13 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Besiktas 1. · Hatayspor 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 36 24 6 6 +40 78
2 Fenerbahce 36 22 7 7 +28 73
3 Galatasaray 36 22 6 8 +35 72
4 Trabzonspor 37 17 13 7 +11 64
5 Hatayspor 36 16 9 11 +16 57
6 Alanyaspor 37 16 9 12 +16 57
7 Sivasspor 36 13 16 7 +8 55
8 Gaziantep 36 14 12 10 +9 54
9 Karagumruk 36 13 12 11 +7 51
10 Goztep 36 12 12 12 +3 48
11 Antalyaspor 37 9 16 12 -12 43
12 Konyaspor 36 10 12 14 -4 42
13 Rizespor 36 10 12 14 -12 42
14 Yeni Malatyaspor 36 9 13 14 -6 40
15 Buyuksehyr 36 10 10 16 -15 40
16 Ankaragücü 36 10 8 18 -14 38
17 Kayserispor 36 9 11 16 -16 38
18 Kasimpasa 36 9 10 17 -15 37
19 Erzurumspor 37 9 10 18 -22 37
20 Genclerbirligi 36 9 8 19 -27 35
21 Denizlispor 36 6 10 20 -30 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Jan -21 Hatayspor – Besiktas 2–2

Match report

Besiktas Hatayspor
0–1 D. Akintola
own goal
2′
1–1 C. Larin
A. Hutchinson
11′
2–1 C. Larin
A. Ljajić
14′
3–1 G. N'Koudou
R. Ghezzal
38′
R. Yılmaz 🔁
↦ G. NKoudou
43′
4–1 R. Yılmaz
V. Rosier
44′
Half-time 4–1
D. Toköz 🔁
↦ A. Hutchinson
46′
46′
🔁 Y. Abdioğlu
↦ J. Billong
46′
🔁 B. Çamoglu
↦ S. Popov
46′
🔁 A. Canlı
↦ Noss Traoré
47′
🟨 Abdurrahman Canli
5–1 C. Larin
55′
6–1 C. Larin
V. Rosier
65′
N. Uysal 🔁
↦ A. Ljajić
69′
71′
🔁 M. Mert
↦ R. Aabid
71′
🔁 M. Çaytemel
↦ A. Katranis
74′
🟨 Babajide David Akintola
B. Mensah 🔁
↦ R. Ghezzal
76′
84′
🟨 Rúben Ribeiro
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-1-4-1
30 E. Destanoğlu G
24 D. Vida D
21 F. N'Sakala D
23 Welinton D
2 V. Rosier D
13 A. Hutchinson M
5 Josef de Souza M
22 A. Ljajić M
18 R. Ghezzal M
7 G. N'Koudou M
17 C. Larin F
Bench (10)
33 R. Yılmaz
26 D. Toköz
20 N. Uysal
43 B. Mensah
97 U. Yuvakuran
70 G. Töre
46 S. Saatçı
4 Javi Montero
61 E. Bilgin
28 B. Ceylan

Coach: S. Yalçın

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
1 M. Mohamedi G
90 S. Popov D
14 Pablo D
3 A. Katranis D
6 J. Billong D
88 Rúben Ribeiro M
8 R. Aabid M
28 Noss Traoré M
17 D. Akintola M
92 M. Diouf F
9 A. Boupendza M
Bench (8)
55 Y. Abdioğlu
2 B. Çamoglu
23 A. Canlı
19 M. Mert
16 M. Çaytemel
41 J. Akomadi
71 E. Kılıçarslan
34 A. Alkan

Coach: M. Sönmez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
U
4,18
B
5,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,22
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ali Palabıyık · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.