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Eredivisie
Referee: M van den Kerkhof
Twente
U T S T S
0–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 44%
54%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
62%
58%
Both score Ø 64%
77%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,6
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
10 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 5
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 6. · Sparta Rotterdam 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 13 11 0 2 +42 33
2 PSV Eindhoven 14 10 3 1 +22 33
3 Vitesse 13 9 2 2 +14 29
4 Groningen 13 8 2 3 +4 26
5 Feyenoord 11 7 3 1 +14 24
6 Twente 13 7 3 3 +10 24
7 AZ Alkmaar 12 6 5 1 +11 23
8 Heerenveen 13 5 5 3 +4 20
9 Utrecht 12 3 6 3 -3 15
10 Sparta Rotterdam 12 4 2 6 -1 14
11 Zwolle 13 2 7 4 -8 13
12 For Sittard 14 3 4 7 -12 13
13 Heracles 13 3 3 7 -10 12
14 Waalwijk 14 3 3 8 -13 12
15 VVV Venlo 14 2 3 9 -22 9
16 Willem II 13 2 2 9 -14 8
17 Den Haag 13 1 4 8 -20 7
18 FC Emmen 14 0 5 9 -18 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Sparta Rotterdam
Half-time 0–1
46′
M. Engels 0–1
54′
🔁 Jeffry Fortes
↦ S. Mijnans
67′
D. Duarte 0–2
M. Pinto
H. Dervişoğlu 🔁
↦ V. Černý
68′
70′
🔁 R. Kharchouch
↦ M. Engels
R. Zerrouki 🔁
↦ G. Roemeratoe
80′
D. Dumić 🔁
↦ Julio Pleguezuelo
80′
A. Jeremejeff 🔁
↦ Q. Menig
80′
J. Bosch 🔁
↦ L. Ilić
80′
Kik Pierie 🟨
82′
83′
🔁 T. Beugelsdijk
↦ W. Burger
83′
🔁 B. Smeets
↦ L. Thy
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
4 Julio Pleguezuelo D
23 T. Ebuehi D
15 K. Pierie D
17 J. Oosterwolde D
6 W. Brama M
20 G. Roemeratoe M
8 L. Ilić M
11 Q. Menig F
7 V. Černý F
9 Danilo F
Bench (12)
21 H. Dervişoğlu
19 R. Zerrouki
43 D. Dumić
14 A. Jeremejeff
32 J. Bosch
35 M. Hilgers
22 J. de Lange
18 L. Selahi
5 G. Smal
24 N. Markelo
10 L. Lamprou
30 E. van der Gouw

Coach: R. Jans

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 M. Okoye G
3 B. Vriends D
5 M. Pinto D
4 M. Heylen D
2 D. Abels D
6 A. Auassar M
10 D. Duarte M
8 W. Burger M
7 S. Mijnans M
9 L. Thy F
11 M. Engels M
Bench (10)
12 Jeffry Fortes
17 R. Kharchouch
14 T. Beugelsdijk
16 B. Smeets
30 M. Fabrie
20 B. van Leer
18 E. Emegha
15 A. Meijers
19 D. Gravenberch
13 D. Vianello

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,03
U
3,66
B ✓
3,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,64
U2,5 ✓
2,26
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M van den Kerkhof · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.