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Eredivisie
Referee: Reinold Wiedemeijer
Vitesse
U T S U S
2–0
Full-time
Groningen
U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 18/20 matches
Win Ø 32%
39%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
61%
65%
Both score Ø 71%
72%
70%
Average goals
3,0
3,4
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%
12 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 0
2 Offside 5
7 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 6. · Groningen 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 20 17 1 2 +31 52
2 Ajax 20 14 3 3 +39 45
3 AZ Alkmaar 20 13 3 4 +17 42
4 Feyenoord 20 10 6 4 +21 36
5 Zwolle 20 10 6 4 +5 36
6 Vitesse 18 7 6 5 +8 27
7 Heerenveen 19 7 6 6 -2 27
8 Den Haag 19 8 3 8 -3 27
9 Utrecht 18 7 6 5 -3 27
10 VVV Venlo 20 6 8 6 -3 26
11 Excelsior 20 7 3 10 -6 24
12 Heracles 20 6 5 9 -12 23
13 Groningen 20 5 7 8 +0 22
14 Willem II 20 4 5 11 -15 17
15 Twente 20 4 4 12 -11 16
16 NAC Breda 20 4 4 12 -17 16
17 Roda 20 4 3 13 -22 15
18 Sparta Rotterdam 20 2 5 13 -27 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Groningen
1–0 M. Miazga
L. Faye
6′
19′
🔁 J. Bacuna
↦ L. Reis
2–0 M. Mount
M. van Bergen
32′
Half-time 2–0
R. Beerens 🔁
↦ M. van Bergen
60′
67′
🔁 L. Veldwijk
↦ R. Doan
71′
🟨 Yoell Van Nieff
74′
🔁 D. Zeefuik
↦ Y. van Nieff
M. van der Werff 🔁
↦ B. Linssen
76′
77′
🟨 Deyovaisio Zeefuik
Thulani Serero 🟨
82′
L. Castaignos 🔁
↦ T. Matavž
85′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Vitesse

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
37 G. Kashia D
2 F. Dabo D
5 M. Miazga D
43 L. Faye D
17 T. Serero M
10 T. Bruns M
19 M. Mount M
9 T. Matavž F
11 B. Linssen F
16 M. van Bergen F
Bench (9)
7 R. Beerens
3 M. van der Werff
14 L. Castaignos
23 M. Ali
24 J. Houwen
25 N. Foor
29 J. Lelieveld
48 J. Schuurman
50 T. Oude Kotte

Coach: H. Fraser

Groningen

4-2-3-1
1 S. Padt G
4 M. te Wierik D
5 S. Memišević D
21 D. Warmerdam D
17 Jesper Drost M
20 Y. van Nieff M
23 A. Hrustic M
25 R. Doan M
36 T. van de Looi M
68 L. Reis M
19 T. van Weert F
Bench (8)
7 J. Bacuna
9 L. Veldwijk
2 D. Zeefuik
3 K. Larsen
14 C. Antuna
16 K. Begois
31 J. Hoekstra
39 A. Absalem

Coach: E. Faber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Reinold Wiedemeijer · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.