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Champions League
Referee: D Makkelie
Monaco
T T U S T
1–0
Full-time
Galatasaray
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,68 xG 1,29
42% Possession 58%
19 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 3
5 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Monaco Galatasaray
Half-time 0–0
Takumi Minamino ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
49′
50′
🟨 Davinson Sánchez
63′
🔁 Y. Akgun
↦ I. Gundogan
68′
🔁 G. Guvenc
↦ U. Cakir
1–0 F. Balogun ⚽
68′
J. Teze 🔁
↦ T. Minamino
75′
79′
🔁 M. Icardi
↦ I. Jakobs
K. Ouattara 🔁
↦ A. Golovin
82′
M. Biereth 🔁
↦ F. Balogun
86′
88′
🟨 Barış Alper Yılmaz
Mika Biereth 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Monaco

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hradecky G
2 Vanderson D
5 T. Kehrer D
22 M. Salisu D
12 Caio Henrique D
15 L. Camara M
6 D. Zakaria M
11 M. Akliouche M
18 T. Minamino M
10 A. Golovin M
9 F. Balogun F
Bench (10)
16 P. Kohn
50 Y. Lienard
4 J. Teze
8 P. Pogba
14 M. Biereth
17 S. Idumbo
19 G. Ilenikhena
20 K. Ouattara
21 L. Michal
28 M. Coulibaly

Coach: Sebastien Pocognoli

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 U. Cakir G
7 R. Sallai D
6 D. Sanchez D
42 A. Bardakci D
4 I. Jakobs D
34 L. Torreira M
8 Gabriel Sara M
10 L. Sane M
20 I. Gundogan M
53 B. A. Yilmaz M
45 V. Osimhen F
Bench (12)
12 B. Sen
19 G. Guvenc
9 M. Icardi
11 Y. Akgun
18 B. Kutlu
21 A. Kutucu
30 Y. Demir
64 Y. Kahraman
65 E. Arac
67 E. C. Karasu
68 F. Kocak
72 C. Balta

Coach: Okan Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.