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Ligue 1

Referee: M Bollengier

Paris SG

T S S S S

6–0

Full-time

Montpellier

U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,0

2,0

Scored

4,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,82 xG 0,63

69% Possession 31%

21 Shots 6

10 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 2. · Montpellier 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.1	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.7	3
3	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.0	3
4	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.0	3
5	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
6	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
7	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
8	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
9	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
10	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
11	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
12	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
13	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
14	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
15	Reims	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.0	0
16	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.7	0
17	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.0	0
18	Brest	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.0	3
2	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
3	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
4	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
5	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
6	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
7	Reims	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.0	0
8	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.7	0
9	Brest	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.1	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.7	3
3	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.0	3
4	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
5	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
6	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
7	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
8	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
9	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.