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Champions League
Referee: F Zwayer
Lens
S S T S U
2–1
Full-time
Sevilla
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lens Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 70%
60%
80%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,36 xG 1,26
35% Possession 65%
3 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 7
5 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Sep -23 Sevilla – Lens 1–1

Match report

Lens Sevilla
N. El Aynaoui 🔁
↦ N. Mendy
23′
Neil El Aynaoui 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
61′
🟨 Boubakary Soumaré
1–0 P. Frankowski ⚽
63′
65′
🟨 Kike Salas
70′
🔁 Rafa Mir
↦ Óliver Torres
A. Fulgini 🔁
↦ David Pereira da Costa
72′
M. Guilavogui 🔁
↦ E. Wahi
72′
Facundo Medina 🟨
75′
79′
⚽ Sergio Ramos 1–1
80′
🟨 Sergio Ramos
Angelo Fulgini 🟨
85′
2–1 A. Fulgini ⚽
F. Sotoca
96′
A. Khusanov 🔁
↦ J. Gradit
98′
Kevin Danso 🟨
99′
99′
🟨 Rafa Mir
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lens

3-5-1-1
30 B. Samba G
24 J. Gradit D
4 K. Danso D
14 F. Medina D
2 R. Aguilar M
7 F. Sotoca M
26 N. Mendy M
6 S. Abdul Samed M
29 P. Frankowski M
10 David Pereira da Costa F
9 E. Wahi F
Bench (12)
23 N. El Aynaoui
11 A. Fulgini
27 M. Guilavogui
25 A. Khusanov
20 F. Maouassa
22 W. Saïd
32 A. Sishuba
28 A. Thomasson
40 Y. Pandor
16 J. Leca
18 A. Diouf
21 M. Haïdara

Coach: F. Haise

Sevilla

3-5-1-1
1 M. Dmitrović G
6 N. Gudelj D
4 Sergio Ramos D
27 Kike Salas D
26 Juanlu Sánchez M
18 D. Sow M
24 B. Soumaré M
10 I. Rakitić M
3 Adrià Pedrosa M
21 Óliver Torres F
15 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (7)
9 Rafa Mir
29 Darío Benavides
2 F. Gattoni
37 Alberto Collado
31 Alberto Flores
28 Manu Bueno
33 Matías Árbol

Coach: D. Alonso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.