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Ligue 1

Referee: J Brisard

Lens

S S S S U

3–1

Full-time

Paris SG

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lens Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 92%

83%

100%

Points per game

2,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,8

5,0

Scored

1,5

3,7

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+2,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 79%

69%

88%

Points per game

2,3

2,8

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

44%

69%

Both score Ø 44%

44%

Average goals

2,3

3,4

Scored

1,6

2,8

Conceded

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

41% Possession 59%

10 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 7

3 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lens 2. · Paris SG 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	14	2	0	+35	44
2	Lens	16	11	4	1	+16	37
3	Marseille	16	10	3	3	+18	33
4	Monaco	17	10	3	4	+10	33
5	Rennes	16	9	4	3	+15	31
6	Lorient	17	9	4	4	+4	31
7	Lille	16	9	2	5	+6	29
8	Lyon	17	7	3	7	+6	24
9	Clermont	17	6	4	7	-5	22
10	Nice	16	5	6	5	-2	21
11	Reims	16	4	8	4	-3	20
12	Toulouse	17	5	4	8	-10	19
13	Montpellier	16	5	2	9	-3	17
14	Nantes	17	3	8	6	-6	17
15	Troyes	16	3	6	7	-5	15
16	Ajaccio	17	4	3	10	-11	15
17	Brest	17	3	4	10	-15	13
18	Auxerre	17	3	4	10	-19	13
19	Strasbourg	16	1	8	7	-10	11
20	Angers	17	2	2	13	-21	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lens	8	8	0	0	+12	24
2	Paris SG	8	7	1	0	+13	22
3	Rennes	8	7	0	1	+15	21
4	Marseille	9	6	1	2	+10	19
5	Lyon	9	5	2	2	+9	17
6	Lille	8	5	1	2	+0	16
7	Toulouse	9	4	3	2	+1	15
8	Monaco	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Nantes	8	3	4	1	+3	13
10	Lorient	8	4	1	3	+1	13
11	Reims	8	3	3	2	-1	12
12	Montpellier	8	3	1	4	-2	10
13	Clermont	8	3	1	4	-7	10
14	Troyes	8	1	6	1	-1	9
15	Auxerre	8	2	3	3	-3	9
16	Nice	8	2	3	3	-3	9
17	Ajaccio	8	2	1	5	-6	7
18	Brest	8	1	3	4	-10	6
19	Strasbourg	8	0	5	3	-6	5
20	Angers	9	1	1	7	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	7	1	0	+22	22
2	Monaco	8	6	1	1	+9	19
3	Lorient	9	5	3	1	+3	18
4	Marseille	7	4	2	1	+8	14
5	Lille	8	4	1	3	+6	13
6	Lens	8	3	4	1	+4	13
7	Clermont	9	3	3	3	+2	12
8	Nice	8	3	3	2	+1	12
9	Rennes	8	2	4	2	+0	10
10	Reims	8	1	5	2	-2	8
11	Ajaccio	9	2	2	5	-5	8
12	Montpellier	8	2	1	5	-1	7
13	Lyon	8	2	1	5	-3	7
14	Brest	9	2	1	6	-5	7
15	Troyes	8	2	0	6	-4	6
16	Strasbourg	8	1	3	4	-4	6
17	Nantes	9	0	4	5	-9	4
18	Toulouse	8	1	1	6	-11	4
19	Angers	8	1	1	6	-11	4
20	Auxerre	9	1	1	7	-16	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.